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Special Report



       Green hydrogen: Gaining traction for energy transition

       in India


       SYNOPSIS                          transmission charges (ISTS) for renew-  CareEdge Ratings
            he  momentum  of  Green  Hydro-  able power, and it remains a key barrier
            gen (GH2) in India will be driven  to  the  viability  and  widespread  adop-  estimated at $3.74 per kg as of CY23.
       Tby lower renewable energy  tion of GH2.                           In the years ahead, CareEgde Ratings
       costs and India’s decarbonisation goals.                           opines that reduction in electrolyser
       The  prevailing  levelised  cost  of  GH2   Besides,  as  per  CareEdge  Ratings,  cost  and  effi ciency  improvement  are
       (LCOH)  stands  at  ~1.75x  times  and  a  signifi cant  capex  outlay  of  Rs.2.40  prerequisites to achieve a targeted leve-
       ~1.50x times higher than that of grey  lakh-crore is required to produce 1-mt  lised cost of $2.1 per kg. Additionally,
       and brown hydrogen respectively, pos-  of  GH2.  Capex  for  renewable  energy  Production  Linked  Incentives  (PLIs)
       ing a signifi cant barrier to its adoption.  generation  and capex for electrolyser  announced  by  the  Government  of
       Economic viability of GH2 requires a  are the two major cost components with  India (GoI), such as a direct production
       35-40% drop in electrolyser prices and  an estimated contribution of 48% and  incentive of up to $0.50/kg of GH2 pro-
       a  12-14%  improvement  in  effi ciency,  34% respectively in the overall cost of  duction for the fi rst two years and an
       apart from supportive policies.   the project.                     incentive on electrolyser capex of $54/kW
                                                                          are  welcome  moves  to  help  achieve
          Refi neries  and  ammonia  production  Economic viability of GH2  targeted LCOH.
       are expected  to be early  adopters of   LCOH  is  particularly  sensitive  to
       GH2,  with  potential  for  exporting  green  electrolyser  cost  &  effi ciency  and  re-  CareEdge  Ratings  believes  a  signi-
       ammonia.  However,  effective  storage  newable  energy  tariff.  CareEdge  Rat-  fi cant  reduction  in  the  capex  cost  of
       and  transportation  solutions  for  GH2  ings has outlined various scenarios for  renewable  energy  is  unlikely,  however,
       and its derivatives will be essential for  LCOH based on the capex of electro-  there is adequate headroom for the re-
       its wide-scale adoption.          lysers, their effi ciency, and the cost of  duction in the electrolyser cost. Econo-
                                         renewable  energy. As seen below, the  mies  of  scale,  advancement  in  manu-
       Cost dynamics of GH2 vis-à-vis    horizontal  axis of the table represents  facturing  automation,  the use of less
       alternatives                      the capital cost for electrolysers, while  expensive  materials  in  the  stack,  and
          In contrast to other hydrogen alter-  the  vertical  axis  indicates  renewable  the scaling up of stack sizes shall be the
       natives, i.e., grey hydrogen (produced  energy tariffs.            key drivers for the reduction in the cost
       from natural gas) and brown hydrogen                               of electrolysers going forward.
       (produced  from  coal),  GH2  is  gene-  It is inferred from Figure 1 that
       rated through the electrolysis of water,   LCOH is infl uenced not only by reduc-  Key demand drivers for GH2
       where renewable energy is used to split   tions in electrolyser capex and renew-  The demand drivers for GH2 can be
       water into hydrogen and oxygen, there-  able energy tariffs, but is also sensitive   categorised as:
       by eliminating CO  emissions.     to  enhancements  in  electrolyser  effi -  *   Near term – Greening the existing
                      2
                                         ciency. Considering the waiver of inter-  grey hydrogen users.
          GH2  has  the  potential  to  play  a   state transmission charges, LCOH was   *   Medium term – Wider adoption for
       crucial  role  in  achieving  India’s  de-       Levelised Cost of Green Hydrogen ($/kg)
       carbonisation  target  as  well  as  reduc-
       ing India’s dependence on fossil fuels.         $900/kg   $750/kg                 $900/kg  $750/kg
       Nevertheless,  the  estimated  levelised   Rs. 2.19/Kwh  3.12  2.85  Rs. 2.19/Kwh    2.84     2.60
       cost  of  GH2  –  which  includes  both   Rs. 2.43/Kwh  3.28  3.02  Rs. 2.43/Kwh     2.99     2.75
       capital  expenditure  (capex)  and  ope-
       rational  expenditure  (opex)  –  per  unit   Rs. 2.67/Kwh  3.45  3.18  Rs. 2.67/Kwh  3.14    2.90
       of production is currently ~1.75 times
       that of Grey Hydrogen and ~1.50 times   Electrolyser energy consumption: 56 kWh/kg     Electrolyser energy consumption: 51 kWh/kg
       that of Brown Hydrogen. This disparity                    Fig. 1: LCOH scenarios
       persists despite the waiver of interstate   Source: CareEdge Ratings


       Chemical Weekly  December 17, 2024                                                              181


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