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Carbon Foot Print                                                                                                                                                                 Carbon Foot Print



                   Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API  Renewable energy transition                                 Projected CO marginal abatement cost curve in 2040,  by regulatory impact  a  chemical  product,  resulting
                                                                                                                                                                  [a]
                   3          Share or total emissions reduction  Strategy setup                                              500                                                             in  pollution  prevention,  lower
                                                                                                                                                                                              or  eliminated  hazardous  waste,
                                                            [a]
                   Slightly costly                       NPV    positive  Independent  Minimal                                                                                   Minimal regulatory  effi ciency  increases,  and  lower
                   levers focusing                                                                                            400                                                (re-)approval
                                                                                                                                                                                      [b]
                                                                                                                                                                                 required
                   on renewable-                                                                                                                                                              raw material usage. Today, green-
                   energy transition                                                                                                                                             Regulatory   chemistry principles can also help
                                                                                                                              300                                                (re-)approval
                                                                                                                                                                                      [c]
                                                                                                                                                                                 required     to reduce carbon emissions and
                                                                                                                                                Renewable-energy                 10% unabated
                                                            Cost        Supplier    Regulatory                                200                 transition                                  operational  costs  from  chemical
                                                                                     approval                                                                                                 synthesis  through  better  solvent
                                                                                                                               100                                                            recovery,  process  redesign,  and
                                                                                                                                    Green-chemistry synthesis
                                                                                                                      Abatement                                                               continuous manufacturing.
                                                                                                                        cost,
                   Cost per ton of CO  5–10%  ~10% not reduced                                                        $ per ton  0
                     ~$–25 to $–75                        NPV negative  Dependent     Required                         of CO
e                        Sustainable feedstocks and solvents [d]    Solvent recovery.  Recycling
                                                                                                                              –100                                                            solvents  can  mitigate  both  the
                   API manufacturers can achieve an emissions reduction of 5 to 10 percent by transitioning to renewable-power and -fuel
                   sources, though this shift may incur slightly higher costs than the previously mentioned levers.                                                                           production emissions associ-
                                                                                                                              –200
                                                                                                                                                                                              ated with virgin solvent replace-
                   Source of                                                                                                                                                                  ment  and  the  end-of-life  emis-
                   addressed   ~10%                         ~80%                        ~10%                                  –300
                   emissions                                                                                                                                                                  sions from incineration. In 2022,
                                                                                                                                             Process
                              Cooling                       Heating                    Electricity                            –400          eciency                                          approximately  35  percent  of
                                                                                                                                           improvement
                   Examples   n Switch to green electricity in all production steps                                                                                                           solvent  waste  generated  in  the
                   of solutions   n Switch to renewable fuels (eg, biomass, biogas) for heat and steam generation             –500                                                            US  pharmaceutical  industry  was
                                                                                                                                                           60
                                                                                                                                                   40
                   Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API  Sustainable feedstocks and solvents                              0       20   Share of abatement potential, %  80  100       recycled, while the remaining 65
                                                                                                                                                                                              percent was incinerated (45 per-
                   4          Share or total emissions reduction  Strategy setup                                      a:  Selection of abatement levers (nonexhaustive list); calculated as LCOP delta between, from, and to   cent  with  energy  recovery  and
                                                            [a]
                   Sustainable            ~50%           NPV    positive  Independent  Minimal                          technologies from 2024 to 2040. All greenhouse gas abatement lever costs are assumed as the difference   20  percent  without  energy  re-
                   feedstocks                                                                                           between cost of current technology and that of the decarbonization lever of any benefi ts. It does not   covery)(18), contributing signifi -
                   and solvents                                                                                         account for any green premium that certain players may choose to apply.
                   requiring                                                                                          b:  Minimal regulatory approval category refers to variations that either fall outside the regulatory approval   cantly to greenhouse gas (GHG)
                   supply chain                                                                                                                                                               emissions. Instead of resorting
                   collaboration                                                                                        scope of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Medicines Agency (EMA) or only
                                                                                                                        require the submission of a notice letter.
                                                            Cost        Supplier    Regulatory                        c:  Regulatory (re-)approval category refers to signifi cant changes that require the revalidation of the MA   to  incineration,  API  manufactu-
                                                                                    (re-)approval                                                                                             rers can adopt a range of solvent
                                                                                                                        and CMA certifi cates for the product by the EMA and FDA, respectively.
                                                                                                                      d:  Assuming sustainable feedstock/solvents will gradually be incorporated into the drug development stage,   purifi cation technologies, such as
                                                                                                                        in which case postcommercial approval may not be needed. If replacement of sustainable feedstocks   stripping/distillation,  pervapora-
                                                                                                                        occurred at postcommercial phase, regulatory approval might be needed on a case-by-case basis.
                   Cost per ton of CO   ~10% not reduced                                                             Source: McKinsey Value Chain Twin Tool.                                 tion,  and  membrane  separation,
                   ~$–100 to $–300                        NPV negative  Dependent     Required                                                                                                to  further  increase  solvent  recy-
                                                                                                                      MCKINSEY & COMPANY                                                      cling for chemical production and
                   API manufacturers can potentially achieve a substantial emissions reduction, around 50 percent, by collaborating with suppliers   Exhibit 4: A 90 percent reduction of API emissions is possible by 2040, with 35 percent of it cost-effi cient  nonproduction use. A 2023 Cor-
                   to reduce their carbon-emitting energy use and adopt sustainable feedstocks and solvents, though this lever comes at a high
                   cost and faces supply chain challenges.                                                                          and 30 to 50 percent requiring minimal regulatory approval.  nell  University  report  indicates
                                                                                                                        These  measures  can  signifi cantly  Implementation of green-chemistry   that increasing the solvent recovery rate
                   Source of                                                                                         boost  overall  plant  effi ciency  and  principles that require regulatory   from 30 percent to 70 percent could re-
                   addressed   ~50%                                                     ~50%
                   emissions                                                                                         reduce  the  demand  for  primary  car-  approval                   duce the API industry’s cradle-to-grave
                              Feedstocks                                                Solvents                     bon-emitting  energy  sources,  like   API  manufacturers  can  further  emissions by 26 percent, with an addi-
                   Examples   n Adopt sustainable feedstock     in new API development/manufacturing                 natural  gas.  Some  companies  have  reduce  emissions  by  adopting  process  tional  17  percent  emissions  reduction
                                               [b]
                   of solutions   n Adopt green solvents with high recyclability and low carbon impacts              already  implemented  these  measures.  improvements and alternative greener  possible by increasing the recycling rate
                              n Implement sustainability criteria during raw material procurement                    For  example,  Takeda  has  imple-  routes  based  on  green-chemistry  prin-  to 97 percent(19) (see next page “How
        Note:   Emissions baseline and sources based on average API manufacturing profi le from public databases (eg, CDP or companies’ sustainability   mented  a  high-temperature  heat  ciples.  These  principles(17),  initially  API  manufacturers  can  further  increase
              reports).
              Decarbonization levers and cost analyses sourced from McKinsey Decarbonization Lever Library and industry expert inputs.  pump  system  to  recover  excess  developed in 1998, aim to fi nd creative  their solvent recovery rates).
        a:  Net present value.                                                                                       heat  from  cold  supply  and  generate  and  innovative  ways  to  reduce  waste,
        b:  Via carbon capture and storage; e-crackers; bio-based materials.                                         steam  at  its  Vienna,  Austria,  manu-  conserve energy, and discover replace-  Process  redesign.   Redesigning
        Source: McKinsey Catalyst Zero; McKinsey Decarbonization Lever Library.
                                                                                                                     facturing  facilities,  which  alone  ments  for  hazardous  materials  during  chemical synthesis processes to focus on
        MCKINSEY & COMPANY                                                                                           has  reduced  that  plant’s  emissions  the  chemical  synthesis  process.  They  high yield and minimize waste reduces
             Exhibit 3: Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API manufacturers vary but could produce a 90 percent reduction by 2040.   by 90 percent(16).  can be applied across the life cycle of  the  PMI  and  environmental  impact  of
       180                                                                   Chemical Weekly  January 21, 2025       Chemical Weekly  January 21, 2025                                                               181

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