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Carbon Foot Print                                                              Carbon Foot Print



 Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API  Renewable energy transition  Projected CO marginal abatement cost curve in 2040,  by regulatory impact  a  chemical  product,  resulting
                                                    [a]
 3  Share or total emissions reduction  Strategy setup  500                     in  pollution  prevention,  lower
                                                                                or  eliminated  hazardous  waste,
 [a]
 Slightly costly   NPV    positive  Independent  Minimal           Minimal regulatory  effi ciency  increases,  and  lower
 levers focusing   400                                             (re-)approval
                                                                       [b]
                                                                   required
 on renewable-                                                                  raw material usage. Today, green-
 energy transition                                                 Regulatory   chemistry principles can also help
                300                                                (re-)approval
                                                                       [c]
                                                                   required     to reduce carbon emissions and
                                 Renewable-energy                  10% unabated
 Cost  Supplier  Regulatory   200   transition                                  operational  costs  from  chemical
 approval                                                                       synthesis  through  better  solvent
                100                                                             recovery,  process  redesign,  and
                      Green-chemistry synthesis
        Abatement                                                               continuous manufacturing.
         cost,
 Cost per ton of CO  5–10%  ~10% not reduced  $ per ton  0
 ~$–25 to $–75  NPV negative  Dependent  Required  of CO
e  Sustainable feedstocks and solvents [d]  Solvent recovery.  Recycling
               –100                                                             solvents  can  mitigate  both  the
 API manufacturers can achieve an emissions reduction of 5 to 10 percent by transitioning to renewable-power and -fuel
 sources, though this shift may incur slightly higher costs than the previously mentioned levers.  production emissions associ-
               –200
                                                                                ated with virgin solvent replace-
 Source of                                                                      ment  and  the  end-of-life  emis-
 addressed  ~10%  ~80%  ~10%  –300
 emissions                                                                      sions from incineration. In 2022,
                              Process
 Cooling  Heating  Electricity  –400  eciency                                  approximately  35  percent  of
                             improvement
 Examples  n Switch to green electricity in all production steps                solvent  waste  generated  in  the
 of solutions   n Switch to renewable fuels (eg, biomass, biogas) for heat and steam generation  –500  US  pharmaceutical  industry  was
                                             60
                                    40
 Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API  Sustainable feedstocks and solvents  0  20  Share of abatement potential, %  80  100  recycled, while the remaining 65
                                                                                percent was incinerated (45 per-
 4  Share or total emissions reduction  Strategy setup  a:  Selection of abatement levers (nonexhaustive list); calculated as LCOP delta between, from, and to   cent  with  energy  recovery  and
 [a]
 Sustainable   ~50%  NPV    positive  Independent  Minimal  technologies from 2024 to 2040. All greenhouse gas abatement lever costs are assumed as the difference   20  percent  without  energy  re-
 feedstocks  between cost of current technology and that of the decarbonization lever of any benefi ts. It does not   covery)(18), contributing signifi -
 and solvents   account for any green premium that certain players may choose to apply.
 requiring  b:  Minimal regulatory approval category refers to variations that either fall outside the regulatory approval   cantly to greenhouse gas (GHG)
 supply chain                                                                   emissions. Instead of resorting
 collaboration   scope of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and European Medicines Agency (EMA) or only
          require the submission of a notice letter.
 Cost  Supplier  Regulatory   c:  Regulatory (re-)approval category refers to signifi cant changes that require the revalidation of the MA   to  incineration,  API  manufactu-
 (re-)approval                                                                  rers can adopt a range of solvent
          and CMA certifi cates for the product by the EMA and FDA, respectively.
       d:  Assuming sustainable feedstock/solvents will gradually be incorporated into the drug development stage,   purifi cation technologies, such as
          in which case postcommercial approval may not be needed. If replacement of sustainable feedstocks   stripping/distillation,  pervapora-
          occurred at postcommercial phase, regulatory approval might be needed on a case-by-case basis.
 Cost per ton of CO  ~10% not reduced  Source: McKinsey Value Chain Twin Tool.  tion,  and  membrane  separation,
 ~$–100 to $–300  NPV negative  Dependent  Required                             to  further  increase  solvent  recy-
       MCKINSEY & COMPANY                                                       cling for chemical production and
 API manufacturers can potentially achieve a substantial emissions reduction, around 50 percent, by collaborating with suppliers   Exhibit 4: A 90 percent reduction of API emissions is possible by 2040, with 35 percent of it cost-effi cient  nonproduction use. A 2023 Cor-
 to reduce their carbon-emitting energy use and adopt sustainable feedstocks and solvents, though this lever comes at a high
 cost and faces supply chain challenges.  and 30 to 50 percent requiring minimal regulatory approval.  nell  University  report  indicates
          These  measures  can  signifi cantly  Implementation of green-chemistry   that increasing the solvent recovery rate
 Source of  boost  overall  plant  effi ciency  and  principles that require regulatory   from 30 percent to 70 percent could re-
 addressed  ~50%  ~50%
 emissions  reduce  the  demand  for  primary  car-  approval             duce the API industry’s cradle-to-grave
 Feedstocks  Solvents  bon-emitting  energy  sources,  like   API  manufacturers  can  further  emissions by 26 percent, with an addi-
 Examples  n Adopt sustainable feedstock     in new API development/manufacturing  natural  gas.  Some  companies  have  reduce  emissions  by  adopting  process  tional  17  percent  emissions  reduction
 [b]
 of solutions   n Adopt green solvents with high recyclability and low carbon impacts  already  implemented  these  measures.  improvements and alternative greener  possible by increasing the recycling rate
 n Implement sustainability criteria during raw material procurement  For  example,  Takeda  has  imple-  routes  based  on  green-chemistry  prin-  to 97 percent(19) (see next page “How
 Note:   Emissions baseline and sources based on average API manufacturing profi le from public databases (eg, CDP or companies’ sustainability   mented  a  high-temperature  heat  ciples.  These  principles(17),  initially  API  manufacturers  can  further  increase
 reports).
    Decarbonization levers and cost analyses sourced from McKinsey Decarbonization Lever Library and industry expert inputs.  pump  system  to  recover  excess  developed in 1998, aim to fi nd creative  their solvent recovery rates).
 a:  Net present value.  heat  from  cold  supply  and  generate  and  innovative  ways  to  reduce  waste,
 b:  Via carbon capture and storage; e-crackers; bio-based materials.  steam  at  its  Vienna,  Austria,  manu-  conserve energy, and discover replace-  Process  redesign.   Redesigning
 Source: McKinsey Catalyst Zero; McKinsey Decarbonization Lever Library.
       facturing  facilities,  which  alone  ments  for  hazardous  materials  during  chemical synthesis processes to focus on
 MCKINSEY & COMPANY  has  reduced  that  plant’s  emissions  the  chemical  synthesis  process.  They  high yield and minimize waste reduces
 Exhibit 3: Decarbonization strategies for synthetic API manufacturers vary but could produce a 90 percent reduction by 2040.   by 90 percent(16).  can be applied across the life cycle of  the  PMI  and  environmental  impact  of
 180  Chemical Weekly  January 21, 2025  Chemical Weekly  January 21, 2025                             181

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