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Special Report                                                                   Special Report


 climate-friendly plastics industry. Bio-  based structural polymers are composed  shown. Additionally,  biodegradable
 degradability is offered by almost the half  of the polymers that will later form the  bio-based polymers are highlighted
 of the produced bio-based polymers.  structural  mass  of  the  fi nished  plastic  with a green dot. The different bio-
 This should only be a solution for plas-  part, and amounting together to 4.5-mt.  based polymer groups are subject to
 tics that cannot be collected and enter  On the other hand, the total amount of  different market dynamics.  While
 the environment. In  these situations,  bio based functional polymers consists  drop-ins have direct fossil-based
 they can biodegrade without leaving  of bio-based functional  polymers  and  counterparts and can substitute
 behind  microplastics.  Only two coun-  paper starch, yielding 13.7-mt. Besides  them, the dedicated ones have new
 tries, Italy and Austria politically sup-  these  two groups with  up to 18.2-mt  properties and functionalities that
 port this additional disposal path.  of bio-based functional  and structural  petrochemistry does not provide.
 polymers, rubber products and man  Both have their own advantages and
 If bio-based  polymers  were  to be  made  fi bres  can  also  be  bio-based.  In  disadvantages from a production and
 accepted as a solution and promoted in a  total,  14-mt  of rubber products and  market perspective.
 similar way as biofuels, annual growth  7.2-mt of man made fi bres are from bio
 rates of 20% and more could be ex-  based resources, 50% and 8%.  While bio based  drop in  chemi-
 pected. The same would apply, should   cals are bio-based versions of existing
 the oil price rise signifi cantly. Based on   Figure 5 shows all (semi-)commer-  petro-chemicals, which have establi-
 the already existing technical maturity  cial pathways from biomass via diffe-  shed markets and are chemically
 of bio-based polymers, considerable  rent intermediates and building blocks to  identical  to  existing  fossil-based   Non edible Milk
 market shares could be gained in these  bio-based polymers. Bio-based building  chemicals, smart drop-in chemicals
 cases.  blocks and polymers analysed in  are  a  special  sub-group  of  drop-in
 detail within the report are highlighted in  chemicals. Even though they are
 Bio-based polymers – the highlights  bold.  chemically  identical  to existing
 The global polymer market includes   chemicals based on fossil hydro-
 functional and structural polymers,    Figure 6 shows the different  carbons, their bio-based pathways
 rubber products as well as man made  pathways of bio-based “drop in”,  provide  signifi cant  process  advantages
 fi bres (Figure 4).   “smart drop in” and “dedicated”  compared to the conventional path-
    inputs within the chemical produc-  ways.  Additionally, these bio-based
 This report focuses on the bio-based  tion chain. For each group, certain  pathways can be built on completely
 share of the structural  polymers. Bio-  bio-based polymers are exemplarily  new approaches, such as epichloro-








                                           Fig. 5: Pathways to bio-based polymers
       Building blocks and polymers covered in the report are highlighted in bold.

       hydrin, where the fossil feedstock  new producers.  The total installed  Global production capacities of bio-
       propylene  is not substituted  by bio-  capacity in 2023 was 4.8-mtpa,  based polymers by region
       based propylene but with glycerol  with an actual production of 4.4-mt.   Asia, the leading continent in 2023,
       from  biodiesel  production.  Dedicated  An increase to 10.5-mtpa capacity  has the largest installed bio-based pro-
       bio-based chemicals are chemicals  in 2028 is expected, indicating an  duction  capacities in  the  world with
       which are produced commercially via  average compound annual growth  55%, with the largest capacities for
       a dedicated pathway and do not have  rate (CAGR) of about 17%.  The  PLA and PA. North America has 19%
       an identical fossil-based counterpart.  following polymers show  an  even  with large installed capacities for PLA
                                         higher  increase  signifi cantly  above  and PTT, and South America has 13%,
          Figure 7 summarises the results  the average growth rate: PHA will  mainly based on PE. In contrast to
       of the report and the development of  grow 57%; PLA by 37%; PA will  2022, European shares in worldwide
       capacities from 2018 to 2028 on the  continue to grow by 29%; and PE &  bio-based polymer capacities has
 Fig. 4: Polymers and bio-based shares worldwide 2020-2023  basis of forecasts by current and some  PP by 28% (combined) until 2028.  decreased to 13%. This is mainly based

 184  Chemical Weekly  March 26, 2024  Chemical Weekly  March 26, 2024                                 185


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