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Special Report                                                                   Special Report



 Markets for bio-based polymers: Asia & USA drive   carbonates (APC; linear and circular),
       casein polymers (CP), ethylene propy-
 growth, as Europe lags  lene  diene monomer rubber (EPDM),
       polybutylene succinate (PBS),  poly-
 new market  and trend  report   year for bio-based polymers: polylac-  In 2023,  the total production vol-  ethylene furanoate (PEF) and polypro-
 ‘Bio-based Building Blocks and   tic acid (PLA) capacities have been  ume  of  bio-based  polymers  was  4.4-mt,   pylene (PP) had a share below 1% of
 A Polymers – Global Capacities,   increased by almost 50%, and at the  which is 1% of the total  production   the total bio-based polymer production
 Production and  Trends 2023-2028’,   same time polyamide capacities are  volume of fossil-based polymers. The   volume and are not depicted.
 written by international  biopolymer   steadily  increasing,  as well  as  epoxy  CAGR of bio-based polymers is, at
 expert group of the nova-Institute, offers a   resin production. Capacities for 100%  17%, signifi cantly higher than the over-  Several global brands  are already   Fig. 3: Biomass utilisation worldwide – First and second generation, total and for bio-based polymers
 deep and comprehensive insight into a   bio-based polyethylene (PE) have been  all growth  of  the  polymer market (2-  expanding their feedstock portfolio
 dynamically growing market. It shows   expanded and PE and polypropylene  3%) – and this is expected to continue   to include sources of renewable car-  shows  the worldwide biomass utilisa-  incorporated into the fi nal product. The
 capacities  and production data for 17   (PP) made from bio based  until 2028 (Figure 1).  bon, CO , recycling  and, in particular  tion in 2023. The total demand for bio-  1.4-mt (36%) of feedstock not used in
              2
 commercially available, bio-based   naphtha are being  further established      biomass, in addition to fossil-based  mass was 13.5-billion tonnes for feed,  the product is due to a high number of
 polymers in 2023 and forecasts annual   with growing volumes. Current and   From the total 4.4-mt of bio-based   sources, thereby increasing the demand  bioenergy, food, material use, biofuels  conversion steps and related feedstock
 growth of 17%  between  2023  and   future expansions for polyhydroxy  polymers produced in  2023,  cellulose   for bio based and biodegradable poly-  as  well as  bio-based polymers. While  and intermediate losses, as well as the
 2028. Demand from Asia and the USA   alkanoates (PHAs) are still on the  acetate (CA), with a bio-based content   mers. At the same time, however, there  the  majority  of the  biomass (56%) is  formation of by products.
 in particular is driving this growth, but   horizon. After hinting at a comeback  of 50% and epoxy resins with a bio-  is a lack of political support in Europe,  used for feed production, only 0.029%
 Europe is lagging behind.  in 2022 bio-based polyethylene tere-  based content of 45% made up over   which still only promotes biofuels and  are needed for bio-based polymer pro-  Drivers and policy
 phthalate (PET) production dropped in  the  half of the  bio-based  production,   bioenergy. By contrast, supportive legi-  duction. That results in a biomass feed-  The most important market drivers
 The year 2023 was a promising   2023 by 50%.  with 24% and 30% share, respectively.   slation is  in place in  Asia and parti-  stock demand of 3.9-mt for the produc-  in 2023 were several global brands that
 This was followed by 100% bio-based   cularly in the US drives demand.  tion of 4.4-mt of bio-based polymers.  adapted their strategic agenda to transi-
 polylactic acid (PLA) with 11%; poly-   The major feedstock used for bio-based  tion the polymers, plastics and chemi-
 amides (PA) (60% bio-based content)   Capacity increase  polymer production were sugars (28%)  cals industry  to  become sustainable,
 with 8%; and 30% bio-based polyure-  The increase in production capa-  and starch (24%).  These feedstocks  climate friendly and part of the circular
 thanes  (PUR) with  7%. Polyethylene   city from 2022 to 2023 is mainly based  are obtained from high-yielding crops,  economy, thus offering their customers
 (PE) (available  with  100% and  30%   on the  expansion of PLA and  poly-  such as sugarcane and maize, resulting  environmentally friendly solutions
 bio-based  content) and polytrimethy-  amide capacities and epoxy resin pro-  in high area effi ciency.  and  critical consumers  alternatives to
 lene terephthalate (PTT) (31% bio-  duction in Asia, as well as an increase in      petrochemical products. The only way
 based content) had a share of 6% and   polyethylene (PE)  production capa-  Additionally, these yields are not  for this successful transition  is the
 5% (Figure 2). The share of polybuty-  city in South America. Also, worldwide  only used for polymer production, but  complete substitution of  fossil carbon
 lene adipate-co-terephthalate) (PBAT),   expansions for PHAs were reported in  also  for animal  feed,  regarding the  with renewable carbon from alternative
 polyethylene  terephthalate  (PET),   2023. Especially PHAs, PLA, poly-  protein  share, and thus only a part is  sources: biomass, CO  and recycling.
                                                                                             2
 polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHA) and   amides and PE and PP will continue to  allocated.  Glycerol (25%) a biogenic  By expanding their feedstock portfolio
 starch-containing polymer  compounds   grow  signifi cantly  (35%  on  average)  process by-product from biodiesel  to include, next to fossil-based, renew-
 Fig. 1: Plastics production from 1950 to 2022  (SCPC) was below 5%. Aliphatic poly-  by 2028.  While capacities  for PHA  production represents a biomass with  able  carbon, these brands strike the
       and PLA will grow  worldwide with  only an indirect, passive land use. This  rethinking  from the market  point of
       57% and 37% rise respectively, PA will  glycerol is mainly used for epoxy resin  view. Especially  in the  use of bio-
       mainly increase in Asia by 29% and PE  production via epichlorohydrin as an  mass, this rethinking increased and will
       in Asia, Europe and North America and  intermediate.               further increase the supply of bio-based
       PP in North America with 38% (com-                                 as well as biodegradable polymers.
       bined).                             The utilised biomass also comprised
                                         12% non edible plant oil, such as cas-  Nevertheless, the market  remains
       Bio-based feedstock and land use  tor oil, 7% from cellulose (mainly used  challenging in terms of crude oil prices
          Considering the steadily increasing  for CA) and 4% from edible plant oils.  and from a political  perspective, as
       demand for  bio-based  polymers, the  From the 4.4-mt of produced bio-based  major  advantages of  bio-based polymers
       need for biomass feedstocks should be  polymers (fully and partly bio-based)  have not been politically  rewarded
       taken into account as an important fac-  2.5-mt were actual bio-based compo-  yet.  Bio-based  polymers  replace fossil
       tor. This is especially true for the recur-  nents of the polymers (57%). Consi-  carbon in the production process
       ring debate on the use of food crops for  dering this fact, almost 1.6 times more  with renewable carbon from biomass.
 Fig. 2: Bio-based polymer capacities and production 2023  bio-based polymer production. Figure 3  feedstock was needed than actually is  This is indispensable for a sustainable,

 182  Chemical Weekly  March 26, 2024  Chemical Weekly  March 26, 2024                                 183


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