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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report


       climate-friendly plastics industry. Bio-  based structural polymers are composed  shown. Additionally,  biodegradable
       degradability is offered by almost the half  of the polymers that will later form the  bio-based polymers are highlighted
       of the produced bio-based polymers.  structural  mass  of  the  fi nished  plastic  with a green dot. The different bio-
       This should only be a solution for plas-  part, and amounting together to 4.5-mt.  based polymer groups are subject to
       tics that cannot be collected and enter  On the other hand, the total amount of  different market dynamics.  While
       the environment. In  these situations,  bio based functional polymers consists  drop-ins have direct fossil-based
       they can biodegrade without leaving  of bio-based functional  polymers  and  counterparts and can substitute
       behind  microplastics.  Only two coun-  paper starch, yielding 13.7-mt. Besides  them, the dedicated ones have new
       tries, Italy and Austria politically sup-  these  two groups with  up to 18.2-mt  properties and functionalities that
       port this additional disposal path.  of bio-based functional  and structural  petrochemistry does not provide.
                                         polymers, rubber products and man  Both have their own advantages and
          If bio-based  polymers  were  to be  made  fi bres  can  also  be  bio-based.  In  disadvantages from a production and
       accepted as a solution and promoted in a  total,  14-mt  of rubber products and  market perspective.
       similar way as biofuels, annual growth  7.2-mt of man made fi bres are from bio
       rates of 20% and more could be ex-  based resources, 50% and 8%.      While bio based  drop  in  chemi-
       pected. The same would apply, should                               cals are bio-based versions of existing
       the oil price rise signifi cantly. Based on   Figure 5 shows all (semi-)commer-  petro-chemicals, which have establi-
       the already existing technical maturity  cial pathways from biomass via diffe-  shed markets and are chemically
       of bio-based polymers, considerable  rent intermediates and building blocks to  identical  to  existing  fossil-based                                     Non edible Milk
       market shares could be gained in these  bio-based polymers. Bio-based building  chemicals, smart drop-in chemicals
       cases.                            blocks and polymers analysed in  are  a  special  sub-group  of  drop-in
                                         detail within the report are highlighted in  chemicals. Even though they are
       Bio-based polymers – the highlights  bold.                         chemically  identical  to existing
          The global polymer market includes                              chemicals based on fossil hydro-
       functional and structural polymers,    Figure 6 shows the different  carbons, their bio-based pathways
       rubber products as well as man made  pathways of bio-based “drop in”,  provide  signifi cant  process  advantages
       fi bres (Figure 4).                “smart drop in” and “dedicated”  compared to the conventional path-
                                         inputs within the chemical produc-  ways.  Additionally, these bio-based
          This report focuses on the bio-based  tion chain. For each group, certain  pathways can be built on completely
       share of the structural  polymers. Bio-  bio-based polymers are exemplarily  new approaches, such as epichloro-








                                                                                                                                                         Fig. 5: Pathways to bio-based polymers
                                                                                                                     Building blocks and polymers covered in the report are highlighted in bold.

                                                                                                                     hydrin, where the fossil feedstock  new producers.  The total installed  Global production capacities of bio-
                                                                                                                     propylene  is not substituted  by bio-  capacity in 2023 was 4.8-mtpa,  based polymers by region
                                                                                                                     based propylene but with glycerol  with an actual production of 4.4-mt.   Asia, the leading continent in 2023,
                                                                                                                     from  biodiesel  production.  Dedicated  An increase to 10.5-mtpa capacity  has the largest installed bio-based pro-
                                                                                                                     bio-based chemicals are chemicals  in 2028 is expected, indicating an  duction  capacities in  the  world with
                                                                                                                     which are produced commercially via  average compound annual growth  55%, with the largest capacities for
                                                                                                                     a dedicated pathway and do not have  rate (CAGR) of about 17%.  The  PLA and PA. North America has 19%
                                                                                                                     an identical fossil-based counterpart.  following polymers show  an  even  with large installed capacities for PLA
                                                                                                                                                       higher  increase  signifi cantly  above  and PTT, and South America has 13%,
                                                                                                                        Figure 7 summarises the results  the average growth rate: PHA will  mainly based on PE. In contrast to
                                                                                                                     of the report and the development of  grow 57%; PLA by 37%; PA will  2022, European shares in worldwide
                                                                                                                     capacities from 2018 to 2028 on the  continue to grow by 29%; and PE &  bio-based polymer capacities has
                                    Fig. 4: Polymers and bio-based shares worldwide 2020-2023                        basis of forecasts by current and some  PP by 28% (combined) until 2028.  decreased to 13%. This is mainly based

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