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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report


       Li-ion battery shipments: Short-term uptick, followed                                                         Li-ion battery manufacturing equipment     Global Li-ion battery equipment revenue
                                                                                                                     was valued at $21-bn, with 3.3% year-
       by longer-term slowdown forecast                                                                              on-year growth, downgraded by 1.3                 forecast comparison, US$ bn
                                                                                                                     percentage  points from the  previous
                                                                                                                     forecast. The slowdown  in equipment   35.0
          n 2024, global lithium  (Li)-ion  forecast to grow               SHIRLY ZHU                                                                                                              30.0   29.5
          battery shipments reached an esti-  a compound an-               Principal Analyst, Interact Analysis      demand is closely related to changes in   30.0
       Imated 1,353 GWh. This is a year-  nual growth rate                 E-mail: shirly.zhu@interactanalysis.com   Li-ion battery capacity and shipments.   25.0
       on-year increase  of 23% and 1.7 per-  (CAGR) of 20.6%.                                                       The slowdown  in capacity  expansion               21.3    21.0
       centage  points  higher  than  the  fi gure  This has been re-      Li-ion battery short- and long-term        has led to a decrease in equipment pro-  20.0
       we presented in September 2024. The  vised  down by 0.8            production capacity expectations           curement demand. Battery vendors are
       positive change is mainly due to stronger  percentage points       downgraded                                 also becoming more cautious about in-  15.0
       demand for energy storage.        from the previous                   In 2024, we estimate global Li-ion      vesting in equipment upgrades because
                                         forecast. Important infl uencing factors   battery capacity reached 2,967 GWh.   of the slowing rate of technological   10.0
          In key markets such as China and  include the uncertainty of new energy   This is a year-on-year increase of   iteration.                         5.0
       the US, the installed capacity of energy  industry policies in Europe and the US,   27.6%, which is 2.1 percentage points
       storage, especially large-scale energy  particularly  the change in attitude  of   lower than the previous forecast. Dur-  Slightly more constrained growth is   0.0
       storage projects, exceeded  previous  the new US government towards new   ing the period from 2024 to 2029, the   forecast for the global Li-ion battery             2024                      2029
       market expectations, therefore provid-  energy. As  a major global market for   CAGR of total capacity has also been   equipment market                                  Sep-24      Jan-25
       ing  a  strong boost for Li-ion  battery  new energy vehicles  and energy stor-  revised down by 0.2 percentage points   A CAGR for global Li-ion battery

       demand. However, in the fi eld of new  age, the policy orientation  of the US   to an estimated 17.6%. This follows on   manufacturing equipment revenue  of   About Interact Analysis  adjusted  to  refl ect  the  latest  market
       energy vehicles, the performance  of  plays a crucial role in the development   from the downgraded previous predic-  7.0% from 2024 to 2029 is predicted,   Interact  Analysis has been track-  trends.
       European and  American  markets was  of the industry. If policy support weak-  tion and is largely due to the dual pres-  less than 0.1 percentage  points lower  ing the Li-ion battery and related   ABOUT THE AUTHOR
       much slower. Factors in Europe such  ens, the investment  and construction   sures of overcapacity and a slowdown   than the previous forecast.  With the  manufacturing equipment markets for   Shirly has worked across multi-
       as subsidy policy adjustments and slug-  progress of new energy projects will be   in demand.                 gradual commercialization of new bat-  years, providing deep market analysis,   ple industry sectors in her 10+ year
       gish economic growth have contributed  hindered,  affecting  demand  for Li-ion                               tery  technologies such  as solid-state  from Li-ion battery demand (ship-  career, conducting projects requiring
       to a decline in demand for electric  batteries in the downstream market.  In the past few years, there has been   batteries and sodium-ion batteries, pro-  ment) and supply (production and   primary and secondary research, as
       vehicle (EV) batteries.                                            an investment boom in the Li-ion bat-      duction processes and equipment  re-  capacity) to insights into the associated   well as quantitative  and qualitative
                                           Global  shipments  of Li-ion  batteries   tery industry, and the infl ux of a large   quirements are different from those of  manufacturing equipment market.   analysis. She’s primarily focused on
          Over the forecast period covered by  are expected to more than double   amount of capital has led to rapid capa-  traditional Li-ion batteries, which will  The company recently  completed the   Industrial Automation topics includ-
       our Li-ion Battery and Manufacturing  between 2024 and 2029, although   city expansion. However, the growth   bring new development  opportunities  latest quarterly update (Q4 2024), in   ing motion and industrial controls.
                                                                                                                                                       which some market forecasts were
                                                                                                                     for Li-ion battery equipment vendors.
        Equipment – 2024 report (2024-2029),  our forecasts have been revised down   of market demand, especially in the
                                                                          fi eld of EV batteries, has failed to keep
       global Li-ion battery shipments are  slightly.
                                                                          up with capacity expansion,  resulting
                Global Li-ion battery shipment forecast                   in insufficient  capacity utilization.          Chemical Weekly | Import-Export Data  Market Surveys
                            consumption, GWh                              According to our statistics, the EV battery               Directories Business Forums | Expositions
        4,000                                                             capacity utilization rate in 2024  was
                                                                          estimated  to  be around  57%, which
                                                 3,516   3,447            undoubtedly intensifi es market compe-       The only organisation in India catering exclusively to the needs of the entire chemical industry
                                                                          tition and expedites the phasing out of
        3,000                                                             outdated production capacity. In addi-
                                                                          tion, the energy storage market in some                                                  Contact:
                                                                          regions faces problems such as slow                             SEVAK PUBLICATIONS PVT. LTD.
        2,000                                                             policy implementation and project
                       1,335 1,354                                        development challenges, which to some                           602-B, Godrej Coliseum, K.J. Somaiya Hospital Road,

                                                                          extent restrains the utilization of                                         Behind Everard Nagar, Sion (E),
        1,000                                                             existing production capacity.
                                                                                                                                                              Mumbai 400 022.
                                                                          Li-ion battery manufacturing equip-                                          Phone: +91-22-24044471 / 72
             0                                                            ment: Amid slowing growth, oppor-
                           2024                      2029                 tunities still exist                                                    Email: admin@chemicalweekly.com
                                Sep-24      Jan-25                           In 2024, the global market for

       182                                                                    Chemical Weekly  March 18, 2025        Chemical Weekly  March 18, 2025                                                                 183


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