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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report



       Carbon dioxide utilisation market to grow to $240-bn

       by 2045


             arbon capture technologies  research report, ‘Carbon Dioxide Utili-  ane, methanol, kerosene, diesel, and
             capable of removing CO  from  sation  2025-2045:  Technologies,  gasoline), CO -derived chemicals, and
                                                                                      2
                                 2
       Cindustrial emissions have been   Market Forecasts, and Players’, sales  CO  yield boosting applications (crop
                                                                             2
       around for over 50 years, but wide-  from CO  utilisation will directly  greenhouses, algae, and proteins).
                                                 2
       scale deployment of Carbon Capture,  generate $240-bn in revenue in 2045.
       Utilisation  &  Storage  (CCUS)  has                               Chemicals made from captured
       been too slow for global net-zero   The new carbon-containing pro-  CO  are already profi table
                                                                             2
       ambitions.                        ducts can be sold to generate fi nancial   Profi table  production  of  CO -
                                                                                                         2
                                         benefi ts while offering a reduction in  derived polymers has been around for
          While governments are beginning  carbon footprint.              decades.  Asahi  Kasei  pioneered  pro-
       to implement carbon pricing mecha-                                 duction  of polycarbonate  from waste
       nisms or tax credits to motivate perma-  The leading fate of captured CO 2   CO  in 2002. The total annual produc-
                                                                             2
       nent storage of CO  deep underground,  today is enhanced oil recovery – a  tion  capacity  of  polycarbonate  resin
                      2
       a  profi table  business  model  exists  method of reversing productivity de-  using CO  utilisation technology has
                                                                                   2
       beyond CO  sequestration via emerging  cline in depleted oil fi elds. However,  now reached about 1-mtpa. Other es-
                2
       CO  utilisation applications.     there  are  many emerging  areas  of  sential plastics, such as polyethylene
         2
                                         CO  recycling, including CO -derived  and polyethylene terephthalate (PET),
                                                                 2
                                           2
          According  to the  new  IDTechEx  concrete, CO -derived fuels (meth-  are starting to be made from CO  via
                                                    2                                                 2
                                                                                                                                                            Fig. 2: CO  utilisation categories
                                                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                     Source: IDTechEx
                                                                                                                     thermochemical and biological con-  hydrogen electrolyser capacity scales up  and is expected to produce thousands
                                                                                                                     version routes, with LanzaTech lead-  worldwide, production of e-fuels from  of tonnes per annum of CO -derived
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2
                                                                                                                     ing microbial innovation in this space.  CO using Power-to-X technology will  e-fuels.
                                                                                                                                                          2
                                                                                                                     Drop-in  chemicals  such  as  CO -  also increase. These fuels are expected
                                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                     derived ethanol and aromatics are also  to play a role in decarbonizing ship-  CO -derived concrete can help
                                                                                                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                                     being commercialised.             ping and aviation as full electrifi cation  build a net-negative future
                                                                                                                                                       of the aviation and maritime sectors is   CO  utilisation can lower the car-
                                                                                                                                                                                               2
                                                                                                                        While potentially all carbon-con-  currently unfeasible.         bon footprint of ready-mixed con-
                                                                                                                     taining chemicals could utilise CO in                               crete, precast concrete, and carbonate
                                                                                                                                                  2
                                                                                                                     production, those requiring non-reduc-  Several CO -derived fuels are  aggregates/supplementary cementitious
                                                                                                                                                                     2
                                                                                                                     tive pathways are the most promising  already being commercially produced  materials through CO  minerali-
                                                                                                                                                                                                              2
                                                                                                                     due to a smaller energy demand and  with  many  more  commercial faci-  sation reactions. Players already utili-
                                                                                                                     lack of dependency on low-carbon  lities expected over the next decade.  sing over 10-ktpa of CO each year in
                                                                                                                                                                                                             2
                                                                                                                     hydrogen production.              The start of 2024  saw Mitsui and  carbonates include O.C.O Technology
                                                                                                                                                       Celanese’s  joint  venture,  Fairway  and Greenore.
                                                                                                                     CO -derived fuels could decarbonize   Methanol,  become  operational,  join-
                                                                                                                        2
                                                                                                                     the aviation and shipping sectors  ing plants from Carbon Recycling    When CO  is permanently stored
                                                                                                                                                                                                    2
                                                                                                                        To date, alternative fuels have not  International in producing over 100-  in concrete, performance is improved,
                                                                                                                     achieved price parity with fossil fuels,  ktpa of methanol made from captured  and less cement is needed. Growth of
                                                                                                                     inhibiting market uptake. However,  CO . Other hydrocarbon fuels such as  CO -derived building materials will be
                                                                                                                                                          2
                                                                                                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                                     increased market penetration of CO -  kerosene, diesel, and gasoline, which  driven by new certifi cations, superior
                                                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                                     derived fuels is expected to come  can be made via methanol or syngas  materials performance, and the ability
                                                                                                                     from regulations already being put in  intermediates, are also being ramped  to achieve price parity through waste
                Fig. 1: Share of direct revenue from sale of CO  utilisation products                                place, such as fuel-blend mandates  up.  For  example,  Infi nium’s  Corpus  disposal fees and the sale of carbon
                                                2
       Additional revenue streams such as tax credits, carbon credit sales, and waste disposal fees are not          for long-haul transportation. As green  Facility opened its doors this year,  credits.
       included.
       Source: IDTechEx
       178                                                                Chemical Weekly  September 17, 2024        Chemical Weekly  September 17, 2024                                                             179
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