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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report



       Pharma watch: Moving up the value chain – a look                                                              generic products  (injectables, patches,
                                                                                                                     inhalants, nasal,  ophthalmic) over  the
       at 1QFY25 and past trends                                                                                     past fi ve to six years, which offsets the
                                                                                                                     price erosion in existing molecules.
          ndia Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra)  from the generic Revlimid, stable price  ing pharmaceutical  companies, which
          expects its rated pharma companies to  erosion and increased traction in niche  reported  yet  another strong quarter  in   Price and new launches driving domestic
       Imaintain their momentum on growth  products.  The strong growth in the  1QFY25 in terms of sales growth and   formulation business growth while volume
       and  profi tability  in  the  regulated  markets  US  business, if sustained, could lead  operating profi tability, led by complex   remain weak
       (US), driven by new launches, ongoing  to maintaining of  EBITDA  margins.  generic products launches, ongoing   The domestic formulations business
       drug shortages and growth opportunities  While, the domestic formulation busi-  drug shortages in the US and healthy   of Ind-Ra’s  coverage universe delive-
       in the domestic formulation business.  ness coverage universe reposted low  growth in US and India businesses.   red  healthy  revenue  growth at  10.5%
       Normalisation of drug prices in the US  double-digit growth  against high single  Overall,  the top line  grew 10.6% yoy   yoy in 1QFY25 as against 10.6% yoy
       and a softening in raw material prices  digit growth in FY24, led by growth in  in 1QFY25 (1QFY24: up 15.8% yoy;   in 4QFY24 and 6.5% yoy in 1QFY24,
       will help companies to keep revenue  acute/chronic segments.       4QFY24: up 9.6% yoy).                      on account of growth in key thera-
       growth of 9% yoy (year-on-year)and                                                                            pies such as cardiac, gastro-intestinal,  EBITDA margins at all-time high  market  and a softening  of raw mate-
       EBITDA margin of about 22% during  Increase in USFDA inspections in   The US business of companies,           anti-infective  and  anti-diabetic. While   In 1QFY25, the EBITDA margin of  rial prices. EBITDA grew 21% yoy to
       FY25.                             FY25                             which are rated by Ind-Ra, continued       Indian  Pharma  Market  (IPM) re-  the companies in Ind-Ra’s coverage uni-  Rs. 163-bn during the quarter.
                                           The agency also expects an increase  to report strong growth of 11.6% yoy   ported revenue growth at 7.7% yoy in  verse remained strong and all-time high
          Ind-Ra highlights that sustainability  in the United States Food and Drug  while domestic formulations grew   1QFY25 as against 4% yoy in 1QFY24  at 25.3% (up 220 basis point yoy and   Over the past few years, most
       of the US business remains key to sup-  Administration (USFDA)  inspections  10.5% yoy.  The EBITDA margin of   (source: AIOCD-AWACS). In terms of  230 basis point qoq) as against 23.1%  Indian players are pursuing meaningful
       port the low margins in other markets.  in FY25; however, these  are  unlikely  the rated  companies remained robust   growth drivers, price  (6.1% yoy) and  in 4QFY24 and 23.2% in 1QFY24, led  cost-saving initiatives including port-
                                         to cause signifi cant disruptions. Ind-Ra  at 25.3% (rose 220 basis points yoy) in   new launches  (2.6% yoy) drove  the  by a better product mix, healthy growth  folio optimisation, fi eld force rationali-
          However, the sector outlook for  affi rmed the ratings of 53% of the enti-  1QFY25 (1QFY24: 23.2%; 4QFY24:   overall IPM performance in 1QFY25,  in the domestic formulation  business,  sation and divesting non-core assets to
       Indian pharmaceutical companies  ties in its universe in the eight months  23.1%), led by the lower raw mate-  while volume growth remained weak at  strong growth in the US generic busi-  improve their effi ciency and profi tabi-
       remains neutral for FY25,  led by an  ended 9 September 2024 and took rat-  rial prices and sales contribution from   negative 1.0% yoy. Ind-Ra expects IPM  ness led by product-specifi c opportuni-  lity. Ind-Ra  expects  cost  optimisation
       expected volume recovery in the domestic  ing downgrade/Negative Outlook/Rat-  niche launches, and moderation in pric-  revenue growth to be at 8-9% yoy for  ties with lower price erosion in exist-  will continue to be the focus area for
       formulations business, stability in price  ing Watch with Negative Implications  ing pressure in the US market.   FY25 as against 6.5% yoy in FY24.   ing product portfolio in the US generic  Indian pharma companies.
       erosion in the US, lower input cost and  actions on 14% of the entities,  where
       overall cost optimisation efforts.  the margins came under pressure while  Strong growth in US generic business
                                         rating upgrade/Positive Outlook actions  continues                                                            Chemical Weekly Buyers’ Guide
       low double-digit growth in domestic   on 27% of the entities  where overall   The US generic business of com-                                                          www.cwbg.in
       formulations                      credit profi le improved.         panies covered by Ind-Ra has con-                       www.cwbg.in
          In 1QFY25, Ind-Ra has seen strong                               tinued  to report a strong performance
       growth in its coverage universe of US  Top-line grew 10.6% yoy in 1QFY25  since 3QFY24  (average  growth at          Pocket-Friendly Pay-as-you-use Subscription Plans
       business, led by a higher contribution   Ind-Ra rated a sample of 18 lead-  15.5% over the past seven quarters). In   Opt for a scheme that suits your needs and make best use of India’s most authentic directory
                                                                          1QFY25, the US business grew 11.6%           for sourcing chemicals and related products.
                                                                          yoy to $2.7-bn as against 26.6% yoy in                            Subscription plans
                                                                          1QFY24 and 13.5% yoy in 4QFY24,                   Plan        Hours of usage      INR*       USD*
                                                                          on account of a stable single-digit price        Plan 25           25            1,500         25
                                                                          erosion, shortages of drugs, and niche           Plan 50           50            2,500         50                  Web-Based
                                                                          launches  (including generic  Revlimid,          Plan 100          100           4,500         75                  Directory
                                                                          Mirabegron etc.). The agency highlights          Plan 150          150           6,000        100                  on Indian
                                                                          that the US business contribution to the     *Plus GST @ 18% applicable                                        Chemical Industry
                                                                          coverage companies stood at around           For more information or for a FREE trial contact:                     and Trade
                                                                          35% over the past fi ve years.
                                                                                                                       Mr. Kiran Iyer             Mr. Abhishek Vora
                                                                                                                       kiran@chemicalweekly.com abhi@chemicalweekly.com
                                                                             Ind-Ra highlights that  the strong                                                                 Chemicals &         Search & download
                                                                          pipeline of Indian companies will help       Chemical Weekly Database Pvt. Ltd.                     related products /      data on 8,500+
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Manufacturers /
                                                                                                                                                                                Equipment &
                                                                          maintain their sales growth momentum         602-B, Godrej Coliseum, K.J. Somaiya Hospital Road,    Instrumentation /    Dealers / Indentors /
                                                                          in the US market. The companies have         Behind Everard Nagar, Sion (E), Mumbai - 400 022.         Consultants        Merchant Exporters
                                                                          increased focus on developing complex        Phone: +91-22-24044471  72

       170                                                                    Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024       Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024                                                                171


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