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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report



       Union Budget 2024 and its impact on Indian chemical                                                                                                                               Bharat, has introduced  a  comprehen-
                                                                                                                                                                                         sive array of initiatives  encompassing
                                                                                                                                              CAGR 9.3%
       sector                                                                                                                                                                            nine  pivotal  areas,  alongside  fi nancial
                                                                                                                                                                               304.0     provisions designed to empower far-
            he Union Budget 2024 post the  grew by 3.2% in 2023 and is forecasted   AASHISH KASAD                                                                     278.1              mers, women, the underprivileged, and
            Indian central elections, was  to maintain this growth rate into 2024.  Partner and National Leader                                     232.6    254.3                       the youth. Many of these initiatives are
       Tunveiled against a backdrop of a                                   Chemicals & Agriculture, EY                                     212.8                                         centred on vital sectors such as agricul-
       global economy that has demonstrated    India, on the other hand, conti-                                          178.0    194.6                                                  ture, manufacturing, Micro, Small and
       resilience and steadiness despite several  nues to remain a bright spot globally, by   PARI SHAH                                                                                  Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), as well
       unforeseen disruptions and geopolitical  maintaining the momentum of economic   Director, EY                                                                                      as on fostering job creation and enhanc-
       tensions. According to the International  growth and observing an increase in the  economy has proven its robustness,                                                             ing skill development.
       Monetary  Fund,  the  worldwide  GDP  real GDP by 8.2% in FY24.  The Indian  navigating through a series of inter-                                                                   Building on the favourable policy

                    Nominal GDP (₹ lakh crore)  Real GDP Growth (per cent) (RHS)  national adversities, including geopoliti-                                                             initiatives in the past few years and the
          350                                                       12    cal confl icts, the Red Sea crisis sparked
                                                                                                                                           FY21
                                                                                                                                                             FY23
                                                                                                                                                    FY22
                                                                    10    by political unrest in the Middle East        FY19      FY20    Fig. 3: Chemical industry market size, $ bn  FY24E    FY25E  approach outlined in the interim budget,
          300
         Nominal GDP (₹ lakh crore)  200                            4 2 0 -2  Per cent)  high energy prices and infl ationary pres-  Source: Department of Chemicals and Petrochemicals, The Brokerage  towards productivity and resilience in
                                                                                                                                                                                         this Budget envisages sustained efforts
                                                                    8
                                                                          in October 2023, as well as persistent
          250
                                                                    6
                                                                                                                     ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and ‘Make in India’  increasing operating costs due to higher  agriculture (for achieving food security
                                                                          sures that have generally slowed down
                                                                                                                     have played a crucial  role in driving  freight.
                                                                                                                                                                                         for the country and boosting the govern-
                                                                          international trade.  Manufacturing and
          150
                                                                                                                                                                                         ment’s goal of doubling farmer’s income),
                                                                                                                     this sector forward.
                                                                          agriculture sectors are some of the key
          100
                                                                                                                                                       Growth and expansion of the sector
                                                                                                                                                                                         employment and skilling, women-led deve-
                                                                                                                                                          The chemicals industry is pivotal  lopment, enhancement of digitisation and
                                                                                                                        Moreover, the shifting landscape of
          50
                                                                          of the economy. The chemical industry
                                                                    -6
                                                                    -8
           0                                                        -4    contributors to the growth and resilience   global affairs, including trade disputes  in realising India’s ambition to become  technology, innovation and infrastructure
                                                                          in cohort with the manufacturing and
                 FY20      FY21       FY22       FY23      FY24                                                      and stringent environmental policies in  a $5-tn economy. Hence, it is essential  growth, and credit fl ows.
                                     (2nd RE)   (1st RE)    (PE)          agriculture sectors, has emerged as a vital   China, has prompted multinational cor-  for companies to strengthen backward
                    Fig. 1: Carry-forward of momentum of economic growth  component for our country’s economic
       Source: Statement 13: Annual and Quarterly Estimates of GDP at Constant Prices, and Annual and   growth and development.   porations to seek out other countries like  and forward integration, innovate with   Budget 2024 seeks to achieve  the
       Quarterly Estimates of GDP at Current Prices 2011-12 Series, National Accounts Data, MoSPI; Note:RE –         India for material sourcing to mitigate  new product development, and leverage  above through the following initiatives:
       Revised Estimates, PE – Provisional Estimates                         The Indian chemicals sector is ex-      supply chain vulnerabilities associated  cutting-edge technologies. In addition,
                                                                          pected  to  reach  $300-bn  by  FY2025     with dependence on a single nation. Cou-  growth and expansion of the sector will be  Productivity and resilience in
                 Manufacturing GVA                         5.3            and $1-tn by FY2040. Globally, India is    pled with this, growing domestic demand  aided by government initiatives such as:  Agriculture
                                                                                                                                                                                            As a country susceptible to the
                   Chemical products                                 9.6  the 4th largest producer of agrochemi-     in chemical end-use sectors such as con-     Improving policies regarding power,   impact of climate change, there has been a
                                                                                                                     sumer goods, healthcare, etc. has augured
                                                                                                                                                          water and  energy,  to enable unin-
            Wood products and furniture                             9.2   cals and 6th largest producer of chemi-    well for the chemical industry in India.   terrupted production, safe transpor-  need for adaptive measures in agricul-
                                                                          cals, thereby positioning the country as
                Transport equipments                         6.0          a key player in the international market.                                       tation and storage;            ture  and conservation  efforts to miti-
               Metal & metal products                         6.7                                                    What has not worked for the sector?     Faster registration and clearance for  gate the detrimental effects of climate
         Pharma and medicinal chemicals                           8.3     What has worked for the growth                Having said the above, often the sector   domestic or foreign entities aiming  change on natural habitats, vegetation,
                                                                                                                                                          to set up greenfi eld projects;
              Machinery and equipment                         6.5         of the sector?                             faces key challenges such as inadequate     Tax incentives for the private sector;  and vital bio-resources. To support the
                                                                                                                                                                                         same, the government has announced a
                                                                                                                     infrastructure facilities (including logis-
                                                                             Apart  from the demographic divi-
             Rubber & plastic products                           7.7      dend of the country and political stabi-   tics and storage/warehousing), environ-     Dedicated skill development  pro-  suite of robust strategies, including the
                                                                                                                                                       
          Non-metallic mineral products                     5.9           lity, the initiatives taken by the govern-  mental and safety issues, elevated prices   grammes;               review of agricultural research frame-

                      Food products                       4.7             ment to support the industry have          for fundamental raw materials such as   Implementation of PCPIRs and  works  to develop crop varieties  resi-
            Leather and related products                  4.7             been commendable. Policies  such as        natural gas and crude oil, high cost of   Chemical Parks for downstream players;  lient  to climate variability, release of
                Beverages and tobacco          0.0                        the Public Procurement (Preference to      capital, and excessive market fragmen-     PLI for critical intermediaries; and  109 high-yielding and climate-resilient
                                                                                                                     tation in certain segments. Moreover, the   Incentives for  promoting adoption  varieties  across  32  fi eld  and  horticul-
                  Electronic products                      5.4            Make in India) policy;  establishment      sector grapples with infl ux of low-priced     of  environment friendly manufac  tural  crops,  and  fi nancial  backing  for
                                                                          of Plastic Parks and Centres of Excel-
                Textiles and apparels                 3.0                 lence;  Chemicals Promotion & Deve-        chemicals from China.                turing practices, specifi cally targeted  irrigation and fl ood control initiatives.
       Coke & refined petroleum products      -4.0                        lopment Scheme; the proposed new                                                for the chemicals.             These reforms are poised to signifi cantly
                                                                            Petroleum, Chemicals and Petrochemi-        One of the most pressing concerns                                enhance the agrochemicals sector.
          Fig. 2: Average annual growth in components of manufacturing GVA in constant prices   cals Investment Region (PCPIR) Policy   for the industry is the shrinking gross  The Union Budget 2024
                                 (FY14 to FY23), %                                                                   margins, resulting from  the  escalating   The Union Budget 2024, resolutely   Cultivation of certain grains such as
       Source: Survey calculations based on National Account Statistics 2024, MoSPI  2020-35; and Production Linked Incen-
       Excludes electrical, electronic, computer and transport equipment  tives (PLI) for allied  sectors under      costs of raw materials,  coupled with  aimed at realizing the vision of Viksit  paddy gives rise to methane emissions.
       166                                                                    Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024       Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024                                                                167
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