Page 167 - CW E-Magazine (1-10-2024)
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Special Report                                                                   Special Report



 Union Budget 2024 and its impact on Indian chemical                      Bharat, has introduced  a comprehen-
                                                                          sive array of initiatives  encompassing
                                CAGR 9.3%
 sector                                                                   nine  pivotal  areas,  alongside  fi nancial
                                                                304.0     provisions designed to empower far-
 he Union Budget 2024 post the  grew by 3.2% in 2023 and is forecasted   AASHISH KASAD  278.1  mers, women, the underprivileged, and
 Indian central elections, was  to maintain this growth rate into 2024.  Partner and National Leader  232.6  254.3  the youth. Many of these initiatives are
 Tunveiled against a backdrop of a   Chemicals & Agriculture, EY   212.8  centred on vital sectors such as agricul-
 global economy that has demonstrated    India, on the other hand, conti-  178.0  194.6  ture, manufacturing, Micro, Small and
 resilience and steadiness despite several  nues to remain a bright spot globally, by   PARI SHAH  Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), as well
 unforeseen disruptions and geopolitical  maintaining the momentum of economic   Director, EY  as on fostering job creation and enhanc-
 tensions. According to the International  growth and observing an increase in the  economy has proven its robustness,   ing skill development.
 Monetary  Fund,  the  worldwide  GDP  real GDP by 8.2% in FY24.  The Indian  navigating through a series of inter-  Building on the favourable policy

 Nominal GDP (₹ lakh crore)  Real GDP Growth (per cent) (RHS)  national adversities, including geopoliti-  initiatives in the past few years and the
 350  12  cal confl icts, the Red Sea crisis sparked
                                     FY22
                            FY21
                                              FY23
 10  by political unrest in the Middle East   FY19    FY20    Fig. 3: Chemical industry market size, $ bn  FY24E    FY25E  approach outlined in the interim budget,
 300
 Nominal GDP (₹ lakh crore)  200  4 2 0 -2  Per cent)  high energy prices and infl ationary pres-  Source: Department of Chemicals and Petrochemicals, The Brokerage  towards productivity and resilience in
                                                                          this Budget envisages sustained efforts
 8
 in October 2023, as well as persistent
 250
 6
       ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and ‘Make in India’  increasing operating costs due to higher  agriculture (for achieving food security
 sures that have generally slowed down
       have played a crucial  role in driving  freight.
                                                                          for the country and boosting the govern-
 international trade.  Manufacturing and
 150
       this sector forward.
                                                                          ment’s goal of doubling farmer’s income),
 agriculture sectors are some of the key
 100
                                         Growth and expansion of the sector
                                                                          employment and skilling, women-led deve-
                                           The chemicals industry is pivotal  lopment, enhancement of digitisation and
          Moreover, the shifting landscape of
 50
 of the economy. The chemical industry
 -6
 -8
 0  -4  contributors to the growth and resilience   global affairs, including trade disputes  in realising India’s ambition to become  technology, innovation and infrastructure
 in cohort with the manufacturing and
 FY20  FY21  FY22  FY23  FY24  and stringent environmental policies in  a $5-tn economy. Hence, it is essential  growth, and credit fl ows.
 (2nd RE)  (1st RE)  (PE)  agriculture sectors, has emerged as a vital   China, has prompted multinational cor-  for companies to strengthen backward
 Fig. 1: Carry-forward of momentum of economic growth  component for our country’s economic
 Source: Statement 13: Annual and Quarterly Estimates of GDP at Constant Prices, and Annual and   growth and development.   porations to seek out other countries like  and forward integration, innovate with   Budget 2024 seeks to achieve  the
 Quarterly Estimates of GDP at Current Prices 2011-12 Series, National Accounts Data, MoSPI; Note:RE –   India for material sourcing to mitigate  new product development, and leverage  above through the following initiatives:
 Revised Estimates, PE – Provisional Estimates  The Indian chemicals sector is ex-  supply chain vulnerabilities associated  cutting-edge technologies. In addition,
 pected  to  reach  $300-bn  by  FY2025   with dependence on a single nation. Cou-  growth and expansion of the sector will be  Productivity and resilience in
 Manufacturing GVA  5.3  and $1-tn by FY2040. Globally, India is   pled with this, growing domestic demand  aided by government initiatives such as:  Agriculture
                                                                             As a country susceptible to the
 Chemical products  9.6  the 4th largest producer of agrochemi-  in chemical end-use sectors such as con-     Improving policies regarding power,   impact of climate change, there has been a
       sumer goods, healthcare, etc. has augured
                                           water and  energy,  to enable unin-
 Wood products and furniture  9.2  cals and 6th largest producer of chemi-  well for the chemical industry in India.   terrupted production, safe transpor-  need for adaptive measures in agricul-
 cals, thereby positioning the country as
 Transport equipments  6.0  a key player in the international market.  tation and storage;  ture  and conservation  efforts to miti-
 Metal & metal products  6.7     What has not worked for the sector?     Faster registration and clearance for  gate the detrimental effects of climate
 Pharma and medicinal chemicals  8.3  What has worked for the growth   Having said the above, often the sector   domestic or foreign entities aiming  change on natural habitats, vegetation,
                                           to set up greenfi eld projects;
 Machinery and equipment  6.5  of the sector?  faces key challenges such as inadequate     Tax incentives for the private sector;  and vital bio-resources. To support the
                                                                          same, the government has announced a
       infrastructure facilities (including logis-
 Apart  from the demographic divi-
 Rubber & plastic products  7.7  dend of the country and political stabi-  tics and storage/warehousing), environ-     Dedicated skill development  pro-  suite of robust strategies, including the
                                         
 Non-metallic mineral products  5.9  lity, the initiatives taken by the govern-  mental and safety issues, elevated prices   grammes;  review of agricultural research frame-

 Food products  4.7  ment to support the industry have   for fundamental raw materials such as   Implementation of PCPIRs and  works  to develop crop varieties  resi-
 Leather and related products  4.7  been commendable. Policies  such as   natural gas and crude oil, high cost of   Chemical Parks for downstream players;  lient  to climate variability, release of
 Beverages and tobacco  0.0  the Public Procurement (Preference to   capital, and excessive market fragmen-     PLI for critical intermediaries; and  109 high-yielding and climate-resilient
       tation in certain segments. Moreover, the   Incentives for  promoting adoption  varieties  across  32  fi eld  and  horticul-
 Electronic products  5.4  Make in India) policy;  establishment   sector grapples with infl ux of low-priced     of  environment friendly manufac  tural  crops,  and  fi nancial  backing  for
 of Plastic Parks and Centres of Excel-
    Textiles and apparels  3.0  lence;  Chemicals Promotion & Deve-  chemicals from China.  turing practices, specifi cally targeted  irrigation and fl ood control initiatives.
 Coke & refined petroleum products  -4.0  lopment Scheme; the proposed new   for the chemicals.  These reforms are poised to signifi cantly
    Petroleum, Chemicals and Petrochemi-  One of the most pressing concerns   enhance the agrochemicals sector.
 Fig. 2: Average annual growth in components of manufacturing GVA in constant prices   cals Investment Region (PCPIR) Policy   for the industry is the shrinking gross  The Union Budget 2024
 (FY14 to FY23), %  margins, resulting from  the  escalating   The Union Budget 2024, resolutely   Cultivation of certain grains such as
 Source: Survey calculations based on National Account Statistics 2024, MoSPI  2020-35; and Production Linked Incen-
 Excludes electrical, electronic, computer and transport equipment  tives (PLI) for allied  sectors under   costs of raw materials,  coupled with  aimed at realizing the vision of Viksit  paddy gives rise to methane emissions.
 166  Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024  Chemical Weekly  October 1, 2024                               167
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