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Special Report                                                                   Special Report


 In 2020, China announced the new   Key Findings 1: Robust confi dence   dustry has formed a complete value  versus food. Food security is a top prio-
 3  goal: to achieve its peak carbon di-  among Chinese entrepreneurs in   chain, enabling innovative  bio-based  rity for the Chinese government, leading
 oxide emissions before 2030 and attain   business growth  startups  to  fi nd  partners  for  industria-  to policy adjustments that prioritize grain
 2.5 2  carbon neutrality by 2060, commonly   Chinese  companies  confi rmed  our  potential of the domestic market serves  aging the bio-based industry to explore
         Our in-depth interviews with eight  lizing their products. Thirdly, the vast  for food and feed purposes while encour-
 Production capacity   (million tonnes)  1.5 1  PET  rent projection shows that China’s CO    initial estimations and desk-research  as a signifi cant driver for the bio-based  alternative biomass feedstocks. However,
 termed as the “dual carbon goals.” Cur-
 2
 emissions is likely to enter a structural
       observations, revealing a thriving  industry.  Projections indicate that the  some  critical  questions  arise:  How  sus-
 PEF
                                         demand for bio-based plastics in China  tainable is the industry’s reliance on cur-
 decline in 2024.
       bio-based industry in China. Entrepre-
 PHA
 PLA
                                                                          challenges are involved in transitioning to
       expanding their businesses, with many
 0.5  PTT  In addition, the Chinese petro-  neurs  expressed  strong  confi dence  in  will surge to 2.53-mt by 2026.  rent feedstocks like corn or wheat? What
 PA  chemical industry heavily relies on   highlighting the current opportune   Moreover, China boasts a rela-  non-food biomass feedstocks?
 2019    2020    2021    2022    2023    2024    2025    2026  imported oil. Projections indicate   moment for business development.  tively  strong and  active  funding
 the average external dependence bet-    system, particularly in private eq-  Another unique challenge in China
 Fig. 1: Bio-based plastics production capacity in China (Tonnes), 2019-2026.  ween 2020 and 2030 will reach 76%,   Key Findings 2: Primary market   uity (PE) and venture capital (VC).  is policy-driven structural overcapa-
 Structural overcapacity in bio-  (mainly fossil-based) stands at 1.5-  imposing the  pressing  need for  the   drivers of the Chinese bio-based   Although overall transactions in this  city, which is particularly prominent in
 degradable plastics market  mtpa, while the actual production is  Chinese government to take strategic   plastics industry  sector weakened after 2020 due to  the biodegradable market. To mitigate
 Government policy has a signi-  only 260,000-tonnes. Further, the  action. The Chinese petrochemical in-  Firstly, Government incentive poli-  the broader economic downturn in  these risks, some companies are plan-
 fi cant  impact  on  the  biodegradable  combined  production  capacity  of  dustry has embarked on a signifi cant   cies play a crucial role. The Chinese  China, PE and VC remain active in  ning  on expanding  into  international
 plastics market in China, which  PLA and PBAT is projected to reach  transition towards a more sustainable   government views the bio-based in-  emerging and strategic industries  markets, some are focusing on enhanc-
 has been experiencing overcapacity.  3.6-mtpa by 2025, refl ecting an ave-  model.   dustry as potentially supporting its  such as 5G, green energy, and the  ing their core technological  competi-
 Since 2020, the Chinese government  rage CAGR of 65%, however, the   ‘dual-carbon’ plan, which has resulted  bio-based industry.  tiveness,  while  more companies  have
 has introduced a series of policies to  market size is expected to increase to  Key Policies Infl uencing Bio-Based   in the implementation of various   opted to halt investment projects in res-
 boost the biodegradable plastics mar-  only 2.5-mt by 2025.  This suggests  and Biodegradable Plastics Industries  incentive policies and regulations in  Key Findings 3: Potential risks facing   ponse to these challenges.
 ket, providing substantial resources  an overcapacity situation in the bio-  This report elucidates the latest   recent years.  the Chinese bio-based plastics industry
 and incentives to companies.  Ad-  degradable plastics market.  policy in China since 2021. One of   There are potential risks and un-  [The  full  report  can  be  found  here:
 ditionally,  private  equity  fi rms  have   the key policies unveiled in 2021   Secondly, the presence of the exis-  certainties in this industry. One of main   https://renewable-carbon.eu/publications/
 followed the policy trend by invest-  Chinese context: “Dual carbon goal”   was the 14th Five-Year-Plan for the   ting  chemical  industry  is  signifi cant.  challenges in China is the concern about   product/bio-based-and-biodegradable-plas-
 ing in this sector. These factors have  aligns with transformational policies  Development of the Bioeconomy,   China’s well-established chemical in-  competition for biomass used for industry   tics-industries-in-china-pdf/]
 contributed to industry growth, but   The Chinese government aims  to  which marked a significant mile-
 have also led to structural overcapa-  promote the bio-based industry for two  stone in China’s national bioeco-
 city as companies expand their unused  reasons. First, the government is com-  nomy strategy. This plan prioritizes   Chemical Weekly | Import-Export Data
 capacity without concern for fi nancial  mitted to the carbon reduction  goals  innovation-driven development as
 losses.   outlined  in the Paris Agreement. Sec-  its core principle and aims to estab-  Market Surveys | Directories
 ond, it seeks to reduce its dependence  lish a national biotechnology strategic
 In 2023, annual combined pro-  on oil resources for national  security  force.  Business Forums | Expositions
 duction capacity of PLA and PBAT  reasons.
 Following this strategy, the Chinese   The only organisation in India catering exclusively to the needs of the entire chemical industry
 government has implemented an
 4,000,000  array of policies and regulations to    Contact:
 Production capacity (tonnes)  3,000,000  PLA  and biodegradable materials and   SEVAK PUBLICATIONS PVT. LTD.
 promote the development of bio-based

 chemicals, including the  Three-Year
 Action Plan to Accelerate the Innova-
 2,000,000
                            602-B, Godrej Coliseum, K.J. Somaiya Hospital Road,
 tive Development of Non-Food Bio-
 based Materials issued in 2023. This
                                       Behind Everard Nagar, Sion (E),
 PBAT
 1,000,000
 notable policy aims to make non-food
                                               Mumbai 400 022.
 bio-based products competitive with
 fossil-based products by 2050.  The    Phone: +91-22-24044471 / 72
 2021    2022    2023    2024    2025
 plan could have a profound impact
 Fig. 2: Biodegradable plastics (PLA and PBAT) production capacity in China   on the future of the bio-based   Email: admin@chemicalweekly.com
 (tonnes per annum).  industry.
 190  Chemical Weekly  June 11, 2024  Chemical Weekly  June 11, 2024                                   191


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