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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report


       PHARMA PULSE                                                                                                                   Table: 1 Top 10 Therapy Performance in IPM Since December 2023 (yoy, %)

       Indian pharma market sees recovery in volume                                                                   Therapy wise growth (%)  Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 June-24 July-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24
                                                                                                                      Cardiac             11.5   11.7   14.0   15.0  13.5    6.2    9.7    7.9   9.7    9.5   11.5   11.7
       growth in November 2024
                                                                                                                      Anti-Infectives     10.3   11.7    9.0   9.0    9.9   12.0   17.2   12.8    8.1   5.7    -0.7   8.4
          ndia Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra)   grew strongly at 1.8% y-o-y in November   During January to November 2024,   Gastrointestinal  10.0  10.3  10.0  9.0   9.0    4.7   10.7    9.6    8.7   3.5    7.5   11.0
          highlights that  the Indian pharma-  2024 as against the average  negative  the IPM reported average  growth of
       Iceutical  market (IPM) delivered   growth of 1.1% y-o-y over the past 12  7.7% y-o-y (monthly) with average   Anti-diabetic        8.9   10.8   11.0   12.4  10.7    4.8    5.8    5.3    7.8   5.6    9.4   10.1
       higher growth at 9.9% y-o-y in    months. Key therapies such as cardiac  volume growth at negative 0.7% y-o-y.
       November 2024 (November 2023: up   (11.7%), gastro (11.0%), anti-diabetic                                      Vitamins             5.9    6.7    7.0    7.2   4.4    0.3    2.6    0.3    2.0   3.4    3.7    7.4
       2.9% y-o-y) than the average  growth   (10.1%), and derma (15.8%) outper-  “After  four months of a subdued    Respiratory          8.1    4.0   -4.0   -3.1   4.7   10.2   19.2   10.5    5.4   -1.7   -3.5   2.7
       of 6.0% y-o-y during July to October   formed the  IPM growth, while respi-  performance  in volume growth, IPM
       2024 (Source: Pharmatrac), on account   ratory (2.7%), gynaecology (4.2%), anti-  delivered volume growth at 1.8% y-o-y   Analgesics  10.2  10.6  8.0    6.2   6.4    2.7    5.7    3.9    3.4   4.1    4.0    8.4
       of price growth (5.4% y-o-y) and new   infectives (8.4%),  vitamins (7.4%),  in November 2024, while price growth   Derma           6.6    7.6   10.0   13.4   11.3   4.2    9.0    7.7    8.5   6.3   11.1   15.8
       launches (2.7% y-o-y).            analgesic  (8.5%), and central nervous  and new launches remained  the key
                                         system (CNS;  8.7%) recorded lower  drivers for the overall growth of 9.9%   CNS                 12.0   11.6   12.0   11.9  10.2    2.4    8.4    4.4    5.3   9.7    8.6    8.7
          On the positive side, sales volumes   growth in November 2024.  during the month. Both the acute and
                                                                                                                      Gynaecological       8.8    5.3    7.0    5.8   1.2    -2.7   0.1   -3.5    2.6   1.0    4.5    4.2
        (%)                                      IPM growth (yoy, %)                                                  IPM                  9.2    9.5    9.0    9.5   9.2    5.2    8.8    6.1    6.3   5.3    6.1    9.9
        25
                                                                                                                     Source: Pharmatrac, Ind-Ra
        20                                                                                                                                   Table: 2 Segment-wise Growth Since December 2023 (yoy, %)
                                                                                                                      Segment       Dec-23  Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 June-24 July-24 Aug-24  Sep-24  Oct-24 Nov-24
        15
                                                                                                                      Acute            8.0     8.8    6.6    6.7    7.6    5.8   10.2    6.1    5.1    3.3     2.6    8.8
        10
                                                                                                                      Sub-chronic      10.5   10.2   11.4   12.8   10.2    4.4    6.9    5.6    6.6    6.0     7.0   10.3
         5        2.4                                    3.2
              11.2    20.8  13.8  0.2  6.0  6.2  5.5  5.1  2.4  14.1  9.5  9.7  9.2  9.7  9.4  8.8  6.1  6.3  5.3  6.1  9.9  Chronic   11.1   10.8   11.8   12.3   11.5    4.7    8.2    6.3    7.9    7.3     9.7   10.4
         0                                                                       5.1                                   Source: Pharmatrac, Ind-Ra
              Dec-22  Jan-23  Feb-23  Mar-23  Apr-23  May-23  June-23  July-23  Aug-23  Sep-23  Oct-23  Nov-23  Dec-23  Jan-24  Feb-24  Mar-24  Apr-24  May-24  June-24  July-24  Aug-24  Sep-24  Oct-24  Nov-24  chronic segments have seen increased   The India business accounted  for  the acute segment grew at 8.8% y-o-y
                                                                                                                     demand across  key therapies. Ind-Ra  around 45% of the coverage companies  (November 2023: 3.0% y-o-y) while
                                                                                                                     expects the IPM growth to be at 8%-9%  over FY19-FY24.              the chronic and sub-chronic therapy
                                 Fig. 1: IPM performance led by growth in prices and new launches                    y-o-y for FY25,” says Mr. Vivek Jain,                               segment rose 10.4% y-o-y (2.9%) and
       Source: Pharmatarc, Ind-Ra
                                                                                                                     Director, Corporate Ratings, Ind-Ra.  Growth basis MAT              10.3% y-o-y (4.1%), respectively.
       (%)                  Volume growth          Price growth         New product growth                                                                In terms of MAT over November
       12                                                                                                            IPM 2QFY25: Growth driven by      2021-November 2024,  the acute seg-  Cardiac (chronic; 13.3% of IPM),
                                                                                                                     price and new launches            ment  (46% of IPM) expanded at  a  anti-infectives (acute; 11.8%),  gastro-
       10
                                                                                                                        The  domestic formulations busi-  CAGR of 7.7% y-o-y, while the chronic  intestinal (acute; 12.0%), anti-diabetic
        8                                                                                                            ness under Ind-Ra’s coverage  deli-  segment (33%) and sub-chronic seg-  (chronic; 9.1%) and vitamins (acute;
        6                                                                                                            vered healthy growth at 9.6%in 2QFY25  ment (21%) increased at a CAGR  of  8.9%) contributed 55% to the IPM in
                                                                                                                     against  10.5% y-o-y in 1QFY25  9.7% y-o-y and 10.4% y-o-y, respec-  November 2024. All medicines in the
        4
                                                                                                                     (2QFY24: 7.5% y-o-y), on account  tively. In terms of MAT in November  National List  of  Essential Medicines
        2                                                                                                            of growth in the key therapies such as  2024, the  price increased  5.5% and  (NLEM) are under the price regula-
        0                                                                                                            cardiac, gastro-intestinal, anti-infective  the new launches rose 2.5%, offsetting  tion. The NLEM has been a source of
                                                                                                                     and anti-diabetic. The IPM reported re-  the slower growth in volume (fl attish),  considerable agony to the IPM, which
        -2
                                                                                                                     venue growth of 8.1% y-o-y in 2QFY25  leading to the IPM growth of 7.9% to  determines  the  basis of drug pricing
        -4                                                                                                           (2QFY24: 6.5% y-o-y,), driven by  Rs. 2,185 bn (November 2023: 10.5%  cap. As  per the Drugs Prices Control
            Dec-23  Jan-24  Feb-24  Mar-24  April-24  May-24  June-24  July-24  Aug-24  Sep-24  Oct-24  Nov-24       price  (5.4% y-o-y) and  new launches  y-o-y; Rs. 2,025-bn).        Order 2013, NLEM scheduled  drugs

                                       Fig. 2: Segment-wise growth since December 2023                               (2.5% y-o-y), while the volume growth                               accounted for 13.5% of the total IPM in
       Source: Pharmatarc, Ind-Ra                                                                                    remained weak at 0.2% y-o-y.         In November 2024, the sales of  November 2024.

       190                                                                    Chemical Weekly  January 7, 2025       Chemical Weekly  January 7, 2025                                                                191


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