Page 176 - CW E-Magazine (13-2-2024)
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Special Report



       Electric Vehicles: Revving up despite roadblocks


       Synopsis                                                           emissions, contributing to the govern-
             alendar  Year  (CY) 2023 re-                                 ment’s environmental goals. The mas-
             corded  signifi cant  growth  as                             sive adoption of EVs can boost battery
       Cthe sales volume of electric                                      technology  and infrastructure,  further
                                                  3W
       vehicles (EVs) surpassed 1.5-mn, a 50%     38%        2W           enhancing  the EV ecosystem.  These
       increase compared to CY22. Total EV                  56%           incentives reduce the upfront cost of
       volume sold was recorded at 1.53-mn in                             vehicles, making them more attractive
       CY23, compared to 1.02-mn in CY22.   CV                            to consumers. As the industry evolves
       Growth was driven by the increasing   1%                           with new policies like the Production-
                                               PV
       adoption of EVs and several exciting    5%                         Linked  Incentive  (PLI)  scheme,  it  is
       new EV models across segments giving                               important to address existing concerns
                                           Fig. 1: Category-wise EV sales [CY23]
       better options.                   Source: Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy   and ensure faster sustainable growth for
                                         (CMIE), Vahan, and CareEdge.     the Indian EV sector.
          The overall EV share of auto sales in   engine (ICE) counterparts, and policy
       India has increased to 6.38% in CY23,   revisions such as those witnessed in   14
                                                                           12
       from 1.75% in CY21, i.e., in just two   FAME II – the growth trajectory of EVs   10
       years. Category-wise, two-wheelers   persists across various segments.  The   8
                                                                            6
       (2W) and three-wheelers (3W) recor-  revision in the FAME II policy during   4
       ded growth of 37% and 66%, respec-  2023  posed  a  setback  for  the  growth   2
                                                                            0
       tively, while passenger vehicles (PVs)   of 2W and 3W. However, the  overall   2020  2021  2022  2023 2024(P)
       was at 113% and commercial vehicles   expansion of the EV market remained   2W   3W    PV    CV
       (CVs) at 169% given the lower base.  robust throughout CY2023.     Fig. 2: Category-wise EV volume sales growth
                                                                                       (Lakhs)
          CY24  looks  promising  with  the   Growth and demand to continue   CareEdge View
       industry expecting to surpass sales vol-  through CY24                While  CY23 was certainly  a re-
       ume of 2-mn, underpinned by surging   The growth momentum is expected  markable year for EV growth in India,
       demand and sustained government sup-  to continue in CY24, driven by the:  demand and growth sustainability look
       port through incentives. However, invest-     Government’s  increased focus on  promising  going forward. Continued
       ments in the EV ecosystem remain crucial   electrifi cation  at  both  the  Central  government support through incen-
       for fostering  massive adoption of EVs.  and State levels;         tives and investments in bolstering the
                                            Potential extension of FAME II;  EV ecosystem remains crucial for mas-
       2W and 3W continue to drive EV       Improving EV ecosystem with a  sive adoption of EVs. Breakthroughs in
       volumes                             signifi cant  increase  in  charging  battery technology, along with battery
          The predominant share of EV      stations;                      swapping and faster charging solutions,
       sales in India is currently held by 2W   Envisaged reduction in  battery  can signifi cantly boost adoption of EVs.

       and 3W, collectively  accounting  for   costs, leading to the lower total cost  “An abrupt withdrawal or discontinua-
       90-95% of the total EVs sold in India   of ownership (TCO) compared to  tion of the FAME II or other incentives
       during CY23. In contrast, the share of   ICE; and                  may lead to an increase in the prices
       electric PVs stands at 5%, while com-     Development of new models across  of EVs by around 25-30%, which can
       mercial vehicles (CVs) occupy a minor   categories.                severely hamper the EV adoption
       fraction, below 1%.                                                momentum. Additionally, it can disrupt
                                           The  continuation  of the  FAME II  ongoing investments in the EV sector,
          Despite the challenges confronting  initiative  is poised to bolster demand  leading to a substantial setback in the
       the EV industry – from insuffi cient EV  for EVs. Increased incentives and sub-  advancements made in promoting sus-
       charging  infrastructure  and  concerns  sidies further encourage consumers to  tainable transportation”, said Arti Roy,
       about battery capacity leading to range  adopt  EVs, thus driving  growth.  An  Associate Director.
       anxiety, to elevated vehicle prices in   increase in the number of EVs will pro-
       comparison to internal  combustion  mote sustainability and reduce carbon   [Report prepared by CareEdge Ratings].

       176                                                                  Chemical Weekly  February 13, 2024


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