Page 163 - CW E-Magazine (6-2-2024)
P. 163

Special Report


                                                                             While  exports  to  Africa  have  in-
          4,000
                                                                          creased  and  may  present  a  long-term
                                                                          opportunity, the market is expected to
          3,000                                                           remain relatively small when compared
                                                                          to Europe and Asia.

          2,000
         million tonnes  1,000                                            planning  large  scale  investments  in
                                                                             A number of Gulf countries are
                                                                          chemicals in the second half of this

                                                                          of projects intended to guarantee off-
          0                                                               decade. These investments are a mix
                                                                          take  for  oil  and  refi ned  products  in
               Q1 2019  Q2 2019  Q3 2019  Q4 2019  Q1 2020  Q2 2020  Q3 2020  Q4 2020  Q1 2021  Q2 2021  Q3 2021  Q4 2021  Q1 2022  Q2 2022  Q3 2022  Q4 2022  Q1 2023  Q2 2023  Q3 2023  a  post-peak  oil  world,  and  a  move

                North America  Middle East  Northeast Asia  Asia and Pacifi c  to   bring   chemicals   production
                                                                          onshore  to  allow  for  more  value-
               Fig. 2: China quarterly imports, ethylene & derivatives (monomer basis)  added  exports.  Signifi cant  sums  are
       Source: ICIS Analytics.                                            being spent on crude-oil-to-chemical
       share for chemicals.  And even here  oversupplied global market will be of  complexes.
       there  is  competition  from  the  US,  key importance to Middle Eastern pro-
       which overtook the UAE as the larg-  ducers in the coming years.      These investments will be of great
       est LPG exporter into China from                                   concern  to  high-cost  European  and
       2020.                               Middle Eastern exports to Europe  Asian producers, who do not have any
                                         have  also  decreased  in  the  past  two  serious reasons to expect a favourable
       Challenges for Middle East producers  years as a result of fi erce competition  operating environment to materialise in
          How  to  grow  market  share  in  an  with US.                  the foreseeable future.


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       Chemical Weekly  February 6, 2024                                                               163


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