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Special Report                                                                   Special Report


       group, certain bio-based polymers are  biodiesel  production. Dedicated  bio-  and PTT and Europe had 13%, mainly
       presented as examples.  In addition,  based chemicals are chemicals that are  based on installed capacities for SCPC
       biodegradable bio-based polymers are  commercially produced via a dedicated  and PA. South America had a share of
       highlighted with a green dot. The dif-  pathway and do not have an identical  11% with  major installations  for PE
       ferent groups of bio-based polymers are  fossil-based counterpart.  and Australia/Oceania less than 1% of
       subject to different market dynamics.                              was based on SCPC (Figure 7). With an
       While drop-ins have direct fossil-based   The results of the report and the deve-  expected CAGR of 25% between 2024
       counterparts and can replace them, the  lopment of capacities  from 2018 to  and 2029, North America has the highest
       dedicated ones have new properties and  2029 based on forecasts from current  growth in bio-based polymer  capa-
       functionalities  that are not available  and some new producers are shown  cities compared to other regions of the
       from petrochemicals.  Both have their  in Figure 7. Total installed capacity in  world. This increase is mainly due to
       own advantages and disadvantages  2024 was 5.2-mtpa with an actual pro-  expanded and new production capaci-
       from a production and market perspec-  duction of 4.2-mt s. Capacity is expected  ties for PHA and PP (Figure 8).
       tive.  While bio-based drop-in chemi-  to increase to 9.5-mtpa  in 2029, indi-
       cals are bio-based versions of existing  cating  an average compound annual  Market segments for bio-based
       petrochemicals  that have established  growth rate (CAGR) of around 13%.  polymers
       markets and are chemically identical to  The following polymers show an even   Today, bio-based polymers  can be
       existing  fossil-based chemicals, smart  higher increase, well above the average  used in almost all market segments and
       drop-in chemicals are a special sub-  growth rate: PP, PHAs  and PEF are  applications, but the different applica-
       group of drop-in chemicals. Although  expected  to grow continuously  by an
       they are chemically identical to exist-  average of 65% until 2029.
       ing chemicals  based on fossil hydro-
       carbons, their bio-based pathways  Global production capacities of
       offer signifi cant process advantages over  bio-based polymers by region
       conventional  pathways. In addition,   Asia as the leading region in 2024,
       these bio-based pathways can be based  has the largest installed bio-based pro-
       on completely new approaches, such as  duction capacities worldwide with
       epichlorohydrin, where the fossil feed-  59%, with the largest capacities for
       stock propylene is not replaced by bio-  PLA and PA. North America had 16%,   Fig. 7: Global production capacities of bio-
       based propylene but by glycerol from  with large installed capacities for PLA   based polymers by region, 2024.







 Fig. 5: All (semi-)commercial pathways from biomass via different intermediates and building blocks to bio-based polymers.
 policy landscape for bio-based poly-  are composed of the polymers that will  are made from bio-based resources,
 mers is constantly evolving, it does  later form the structural mass of the fi ni-  51% and 9%, respectively.
 so not yet provide a consistent policy  shed plastic  part,  which  is covered  in
 framework  that  suffi ciently  incentivises  detail in this report and the bio-based   All (semi) commercial  pathways
 the benefi ts, properties and applications  linoleum part. Together, they total 4.3-mt.  from biomass  via different intermedi-
 of bio-based  polymers – unlike  other  On  the other hand, the total amount  ates and building blocks to bio-based
 regions of the world.  of bio-based functional polymers con-  polymers are shown in Figure 5. Bio-
 sists of bio-based functional polymers  based building blocks and polymers are
 Bio-based polymers – the highlights  and paper starch, giving 13.7-mt. In  analysed in detail within the report and
 The global polymer market includes  addition  to these two groups, which  highlighted in bold.
 functional and structural polymers, rub-  account  for 18-mt of bio based func-
 ber products as well as man made fi bres  tional  and structural polymers, rubber    The different pathways of bio based
 (Figure 4). This report focuses on the  products and man made fi bres can also  “drop in”, “smart drop in” and “dedicated”
 bio-based share of the structural poly-  be bio based. In total, 15-mt of rubber  inputs within the chemical production
 mers. Bio-based structural  polymers  products and 7.8-mt of man-made fi bres  chain are shown in Figure 6. For each   Fig. 6: Different pathways of bio based “drop in”, “smart drop in” and “dedicated” inputs within the chemical production chain.

 196  Chemical Weekly  April 8, 2025  Chemical Weekly  April 8, 2025                                   197


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