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       FICCI MANUFACTURING SURVEY

       Accelerated growth momentum in Q2 likely

       to continue in manufacturing sector


          FICCI’s  latest  quarterly  survey  on   Table 1: Current average capacity utili-  Table 2: Growth expectations for Q2 FY24
       manufacturing reveals that momentum        sation levels (%)        Sector            Growth expectation
       of  growth  has  accelerated  in  Q2   Sectors         Avg. capacity   Automotive & automotive   Strong
       of  FY24,  which  is  likely  to  continue                utilisation  components
       for  the  subsequent  quarters  of  FY24   Automotive & auto components  74  Capital goods & construc-  Moderate
       as well, notwithstanding slowdown in   Capital goods & construction   77  tion equipment
       developed nations. In Q1 FY24, 57% of   equipment              80   Cement             Moderately strong
                                         Cement
                                                                           Chemicals, fertilizers &
                                                                                                    Moderate
       the  respondents  reported  higher  pro-  Chemicals, fertilizers & petro-  68  pharmaceuticals
       duction  levels.  Further,  over  79%  of   chemicals               Electronics & white goods  Strong
       respondents shared higher level of pro-  Electronics & white goods  74  Machine tools         Strong
       duction in Q2 FY24. This assessment is   Machine tools         73   Metals & metal products  Moderate
       also refl ective in order books as 80% of   Metal & metal products  78  Miscellaneous         Moderate
       the respondents in Q2 FY24 have had   Miscellaneous            68   Textiles, apparels & tech-  Moderate
                                         Paper & paper products
                                                                      90
       higher  number  of  orders  and  demand   Textiles, apparels & technical   76  nical textiles
       conditions continue to be optimistic.  textiles                     Paper & Paper products   Moderate
                                         Total                        74  Very Strong >20%; Strong 10-20%; Moderate
          FICCI’s  latest  quarterly  survey   As reported in survey.     5-10%; Low < 5%.
       assessed the performance and sentiments   In  terms  of  major  constraints,  around 38% of the respondents looking
       of manufacturers for Q2 FY24 for ten  demand comes out to be the major con-  at  hiring  additional  workforce  in  the
       major  sectors  namely  Automotive  &  straint and limiting factor to realise the  next  three  months.  59%  respondents
       auto components, Capital goods & con-  true  potential  of  manufacturing  sector  reported that they have witnessed some
       struction  equipment,  Cement,  Chemi-  in  India,  with  over  40%  respondents  marginal  increase  in  the  interest  rates
       cals,  fertilizers  and  pharmaceuticals,  highlighting  inadequate  demand  as  a  over the previous quarter.
       Electronics  &  white  goods,  Machine  signifi cant  constraint.  Whether  it  is
       tools, Metal & metal products, Textiles,  domestic  demand  or  exports,  this  Sectoral growth
       Apparels  &  technical  textiles,  Paper,  remains a major limiting factor. Some   Based  on  responses,  electronics  &
       and  Miscellaneous.  Responses  have  other  constraints,  though  not  major  hite  goods,  cement,  automotive  and
       been drawn from over 380 manufactur-  ones,  are  high  raw  material  prices,  machine  tools  have  displayed  strong
       ing units from both the large and SME  increased cost of fi nance, logistics, and  growth  and  are  clear  outperformers,
       segments,  with  a  combined  annual  other supply chain disruptions.  whereas,  sectors  like  capital  goods  &
       turnover of over Rs. 4.88-lakh crores.                             construction  machinery,  chemicals,
                                         Inventories & exports            textiles, metals, paper and other sectors
       Capacity addition & utilisation     85% of the respondents had either  have displayed moderate growth.
          The existing average capacity utili-  more or the same level of inventory in
       sation in manufacturing is around 74%,  Q2  FY24,  compared  to  the  previous  Production costs
       which  refl ects  a  sustained  economic  quarter.  On  the  export  front,  perfor-  There seems to be some moderation
       activity  in  the  sector.  This  is  slightly  mance seems to be better than previous  in the cost pressures on manufacturers
       higher  than  73%  capacity  utilisation  quarters as over 48% of the respondents  in Q2 FY24. The cost of production as
       reported for previous quarters. The future  reported  higher  exports  in  Q2  FY24  a percentage of sales for manufacturers
       investment outlook has also improved,  as compared to the 33% in Q1 FY24.  in the survey has risen for 58% respon-
       as compared to the previous quarter, as  However,  further  improvement  in  dents,  as  compared  to  77%  respon-
       over 57% of respondents reported plans  export demand is required in the light  dents for the previous quarter. Nonetheless,
       for investments and expansions in the  of country’s growth aspiration.  high  raw  material  prices  and  high
       coming six months. This is also a slight                           energy  cost  are  the  two  main  factors
       improvement over the previous survey.  The hiring outlook looks stable with  contributing to the high production costs.

       138                                                                 Chemical Weekly  November 28, 2023


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