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Special Report                                                                   Special Report



 The battle of the blockbusters: GLP-1 agonists  Mounjaro generated  $9.7-bn globally
       in  2023,  which  represented  a  239%
       increase from the total revenue generated
 LP-1 agonist drugs, in the form  was fi rst approved in 2014 in the US for   PATRICIA VAN ARNUM  from all obesity drugs in 2022, accord-
            Target Your Market More Effectively
 of Novo Nordisk’s Wegvoy/  treating Type 2 diabetes. Mounjaro was   Editorial Director   ing to information from GlobalData.
 GOzempic, and Lilly’s Mounjaro  approved  in  the US for  treating  Type   Drug, Chemical & Associated  Starting  in  2024,  signifi cant  increases
 for weight management and treating  2  diabetes  in  2022,  and  in  2023,  the   Technologies Association,Inc. (DCAT)  in the number of launches of new obe-  IndiaChemTrade
                    ChemImpex
 Type II diabetes, were blockbuster  same active ingredient, tirzepatide, was   sity drugs are expected  per year, cul-
 winners in 2023, putting  this thera-  approved in the US for treating chronic   for strong growth,  with  a  compound   minating in a peak of four launches in   Free for subscribers of Chemical Weekly
                      For subscribers only
 peutic sector into high focus. What has  weight management  under the brand   annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2%   both 2027 and 2028, according to esti-  IndiaChemTrade provides consolidated trade statistics
       ChemImpex, the trade database, tracks, on a daily
 been the impact on manufacturing and  name, Zepbound.  from 2023 to 2029, reaching a market   mates by  GlobalData. Novo  Nordisk
       basis, exports and imports of chemicals and related
 what are other contenders in this high-  size of $105-bn in 2029, according   is looking to cement its position as an   of India. The information provided here is based on the
       products through the major ports in India — a vital
 growth sector?  Novo Nordisk has several  GLP-  obesity front-runner, as it will account   annual trade data published by the Directorate General
       source of commercial intelligence. Find out on-line
 1-based products for  treating  Type 2   to estimates (as of March 6, 2024) by   for six of the 13 estimated launches. Its   of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics, Government
       how international markets are moving; where your
                                                         of India. The database can be searched by: Chemical
 The battle of the GLP-1 agonists  diabetes: Ozempic (semaglutide, injec-  GlobalData, a market research and   lead pipeline drug, CagriSema (sema-  manufacturing capacity will become  CDMO, Catalent, by Novo Holdings,
 business intelligence fi rm.
 Glucagon-like peptide 1  (GLP-1)  tion),  Rybelsus  (semaglutide, tablets),   glutide and cagrilintide), is currently in  fully operational globally  in the next  the parent company of Novo Nordisk,
                                                         Name/Harmonised Code to obtain the consolidated
       competitors are exporting and at what price; where
 agonists, which can be used to treat  and  Victoza  (liraglutide). Combined,   It  points  to  fi ve  key  drugs:  Lilly’s   Phase III development for obesity. This  several years as part of its ongoing  which upon closing of the acquisition
       imports are coming from and how their prices are
                                                         trade (import or export) in that item; or by Country to
 Type 2 diabetes and for weight manage-  these drug posted 2023 sales of DKK   Mounjaro and  four drugs by Novo   product is expected to launch in the US  efforts to meet the signifi cant demand  will net Novo threefi ll-fi nish sites and
       moving. Download all this data, seamlessly, for a
                                                         obtain the trade (import or export) in all chemicals and
 ment, are a rising class of blockbuster  123,132-mn ($17.7-bn), a 48% gain over   Nordisk – Ozempic, Wegovy, CagriSema   by the end of 2025, where it is forecast  for its incretin medicines. For example, in  related assets in Anagni, Italy; Bloom-
       small fee — online, anytime, with no hassles.
                                                         related products between India and that country
 drugs  (defi ned  as  drugs  with  sales  of  2022, as measured  in  Danish kroner,   (semaglutide and cagrilintide) (now in   to generate $7.4-bn by 2029, according  2023, the company began production at  ington, Indiana; and Brussels, Belgium.
 $1-bn or more). GLP-1 agonists work  and by 52% at constant exchange   late-stage development), and Rybelsus –  to estimates from GlobalData.  its Research Triangle Park site in North  The Catalent acquisition is expected to
                                          ChemXchange
 by promoting insulin secretion, which  rates.  Ozempic accounted  for the   which collectively are forecast  to   Carolina and says it expects to continue  gradually increase Novo Nordisk’s fi ll-
                                Open to all registered users — no subscription required
 helps  maintain  blood  sugar levels  in  majority of these sales with 2023 sales   capture 83% of the GLP-1 agonist mar-  The rise of GLP-1 drugs: manufac-  signifi cant  capacity  expansion  over  ing capacity from 2026 and onwards.
       ChemXchange — the chemical exchange with a difference — is where you can identify your buyers and sup-
 patients with  Type 2 diabetes.  These  of  DKK  95,718-mn  ($13.8-bn),  and   ket by 2029. Eli Lilly’s Mounjaro is ex-  turing implications  time as the company increases produc-  The merger is expected to close toward
 class of drugs also may promote weight  Rybelsus  accounted  for  sales  of  DKK   pected to lead in sales, with projected   plyers on-line, any time. This unique platform is free to all advertisers in the print version of Chemical Weekly.
          The strong demand for GLP-1 drugs  tion at this site and others.
                                                                          the end of 2024, subject to customary
 loss by reducing appetite  and delay  18,750-mn ($2.7-bn).  2029  sales  of  $33.4-bn,  according  to   has had impact on supply as companies   closing conditions, including approval
                       For more information contact: 022-24044477. Fax: 022-24044450
 gastric emptying,  thereby leading to   estimates  by GlobalData.With  a large   seek to meet the rising demand. Lilly   Novo Nordisk also is investing  by Catalent stockholders and receipt
                  Email: corporate@chemicalweekly.com or log on to chemicalweekly.com
 reduced food intake.  Combined 2023 sales of two obesity-  has  noted  supply  pressures for  its  in-  in internal and external  capacity to  of required regulatory approvals. After
 care GLP-1 products by Novo Nordisk,   portfolio of products of GLP-1 drugs,   cretin  products.  In  its  annual  fi ling  in  increase  supply both  short and long  closing, Novo Holdings plans to sell the
 Leading the charge  in  the GLP-1  Wegovy (semaglutide)  and Saxenda   Novo Nordisk is expected  to capture   December 31, 2023, Lilly says it ex-  term. The most notable example is the  three fi ll–fi nish sites to Novo Nordisk
 market are Eli Lilly and Company and  (liraglutide),  were  DKK  41,632-mn   55% of the market share in 2029.  pects additional internal and contracted  pending $16.5-bn acquisition  of the  for $11-bn.
 Novo Nordisk, each with blockbusters  ($6.0-bn). Wegovy has the same active   These strong growth projections
 in  this  drug  class.  In  2023,  Lilly  had  ingredient, semaglutide, as  Ozempic   for GLP-1 drugs are noteworthy when
 seven blockbuster drugs, led by its two  and  Rybelsus, and  Saxenda, the same   comparing growth rates of other block-
 top-selling products, Trulicity (dulaglu-  active ingredient as Victoza.  buster drug classes. For example, im-
 tide)  with  revenues  of  $7.13-bn,  and
 Mounjaro (tirzepatide) with sales of  Market outlook for GLP-1 drugs  muno-oncology  drugs, in the form of
 $5.16-bn, both GLP-1 drugs. Trulicity   The GLP-1 agonist market is poised   programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-  Missed a copy !!!
 1) antagonists, have a slower growth
 GLP-1 Agonists  PD-1 Antagonist  rate, with projections of  a CAGR  of   For Digital Edition of this month’s issue & all other past issues
 4.7% and a market  size of $51-bn in
 110  2029, nearly half of the GLP-1 agonist
 100                             Visit www.hpicindia.com
 90  market (see Figure 1),according to esti-
 mates  from  GlobalData.  Key  PD-1
 80
 Sales ($B)  70  drugs include Merck & Co.’s Keytruda   PDF copies available for download
 60
 (pembrolizumab) and  Bristol-Myers
 50
                                                   Mrs. Usha S. - usha@hpicindia.com
 40
 30  Squibb’s Opdivo (nivolumab).           Register Now

 20
 10  The rise of Lilly’s and Novo Nor-
 0  disk’s GLP-1 drugs has given new life   Contact: For Subscription  : Mrs. Usha S. - usha@hpicindia.com
 2023  2024  2025  2026  2027  2028  2029  to the market for obesity drugs overall.                   For Advertising  : Mr. Vijay Raghavan - vijay@hpicindia.com
 Fig. 1 Blockbuster Trends Analysis: GLP-1 Agonists Versus PD-1 Agonists, Sales Over Time  Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s
 196  Chemical Weekly  May 28, 2024  Chemical Weekly  May 28, 2024                                     197
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