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Special Report



       Catalysing change: Defossilising the chemical industry


       Part 1: Key chemicals, production processes & reasons

       to replace fossil carbon

       The Royal Society                 sions can be reduced through, for ex-  lopments in chemistry, there will need to
                                         ample, the electrification of power and  be a vast expansion of renewable energy
       Executive Summary                 heating and energy efficiency improve-  and green hydrogen to enable the tran-
            ociety is  dependent on  carbon-  ments. The chemical sector cannot fully  sition  to  a  net  zero  chemical  industry.
            based chemicals  for everyday  decarbonise, though, as most chemicals  Competition for feedstocks and energy
       Suses and specialist applications.  inherently contain carbon atoms that  could inhibit this transition. Long-term,
       The vast majority of chemicals are cur-  are essential to the material’s structure.   cross-government, international policy
       rently made from fossil feedstocks  –  As  this  briefing  explores,  it  could  be  coordination could help to address this
       oil, natural gas and coal. The chemical  possible to significantly ‘defossilise’ the  risk and build in resilience of supply.
       sector has co-developed alongside the  organic chemical industry by replacing
       fossil fuel industry over the last century  fossil feedstocks with alternative carbon   There is no single future ideal or tar-
       and is currently closely integrated with,  sources, as part of the transition to a net  get mix of alternative feedstocks. Bio-
       and dependent on, fossil fuels.   zero chemical industry.          mass, plastic waste and CO  will likely
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                                                                          all have a role to play in defossilising the
          Whilst there will still be some fos-  The alternative  feedstocks ex-  chemical industry, but it is not possible
       sil fuel use in 2050, there is uncertainty  plored  in  this  briefing  are  biomass,  to predict the exact future ratio of each
       over the future availability  and price  plastic  waste and  CO .  These can act  feedstock type.  This mix will change
                                                           2
       of existing fossil feedstocks as other   as sources of carbon required  for pri-  over time and space, as technologies
       sectors decarbonise. The challenge this  mary chemical building blocks, further  develop, policies change, and feed-
       policy briefing addresses is the sourc-  intermediate chemicals  and  ultimately  stock availability and chemical industry
       ing  of alternative feedstocks,  together  downstream consumer products. These  characteristics vary between countries
       with the science that is available to use  alternative starting  materials have  the  and commercial opportunities.
       those feedstocks and the opportunities  potential to reduce the chemical indus-
       that will be created through this evolving  try’s greenhouse gas emissions.   There are both challenges and op-
       science.                                                           portunities of transitioning to a net zero
                                           However, the emissions and wider  chemical industry.  There will need to
          Demand  for  embedded  carbon  in  sustainability  factors of alternative  be continued research and development
       chemicals is forecast to double by 2050.  feedstocks must be carefully  assessed  in key fields of chemistry, such as cata-
       Emissions will also increase if this  and minimised to inform any transition.  lysis, that are central to the advancement
       growing demand is met with continued  This includes  the  feedstock  source,   of many routes from alternative carbon
       use of fossil feedstocks, fossil-based  energy requirements for chemical trans-  sources to chemicals.
       energy intensive production processes,  formations and production, and down-
       and high levels of end-of-life product  stream product end-of-life treatment.   Without intervention, the transition
       incineration.  This will make it more  It is critical that the use of alternative  to alternative feedstocks will happen
       difficult  for  society  to  reach  net  zero  feedstocks does not exacerbate or lead  over  many decades.  There  has been
       emissions targets and will have wider  to new environmental or societal harms.  progress in key areas of chemistry and
       environmental implications. The chemi-                             the research base is growing, but there
       cal sector accounts for approximately   Whilst  this  briefing  finds  that  new  are significant technical, scientific and
       6% of global carbon dioxide (CO )-  chemistry offers many opportunities,  economic barriers to overcome for the
                                    2
       equivalent emissions. At least one-third  significant challenges remain to deploy-  chemical industry  to  transition away
       of chemical sector emissions are due to  ing the use of alternative feedstocks at  from fossil  feedstocks  to alternative
       direct energy consumption and chemi-  world scale production levels. This is a  carbon sources.
       cal transformation processes, typically  limiting  factor  on potential emissions
       powered by fossil fuels.  These emis-  reductions, at present. Alongside deve-   Alongside continued research and


       Chemical Weekly  June 4, 2024                                                                   167


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